NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	7.0 [402]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): +16.7%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	2.5 [533]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -13.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	12	62%	0.16	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04	0.08	-0.05	0.07	24	58%	0.07	4	-0.12	9	78%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
T.J. Ford	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	14	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	11	59%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	17	56%	0.15	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	14	62%	0.14	4	-0.09	14	86%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	29.0	14.8	29.0	1.8	35.2	139.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +58.9%

IND -3.2%

IND -16.3%

SAC +7.3%

SAC +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.1	15.3	106.1	110.0	106.0
season	14.2	15.2		102.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	13.5	16.5	13.6	13.8
SAC	12.9	15.3	16.3	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	41	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-17	29	14.2	13.6	0.59	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Jeff Foster	53	55	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-16	27	13.9	13.8	0.16	15.6	14.5	1.13
Earl Watson	55	57	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.42	15	-20	35	13.8	13.9	-0.03	15.9	14.1	1.79
Tyler Hansbrough	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-7	9	14.6	13.5	1.12	15.3	15.0	0.35
Brandon Rush	17	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-8	11	12.2	14.2	-2.02	16.2	14.8	1.38
Roy Hibbert	34	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	11	-27	13.9	13.8	0.01	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Dahntay Jones	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	10	-25	13.7	14.1	-0.46	15.6	14.3	1.26
Troy Murphy	65	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	5	-15	14.3	13.1	1.20	14.0	17.0	-2.98
T.J. Ford	44	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	15	-35	13.9	13.8	0.03	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Danny Granger	88	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	2	-9	13.5	16.7	-3.24	14.9	16.4	-1.43

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	65	67	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.17	24	-19	43	15.0	15.3	-0.39	14.1	13.2	0.93
Jason Thompson	85	84	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-2	9	14.8	16.9	-2.09	13.5	15.6	-2.06
Spencer Hawes	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	-3	11	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.2	13.1	1.14
Sergio Rodriguez	31	29	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	1	3	14.2	15.5	-1.35	15.0	13.4	1.63
Tyreke Evans	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	4	-3	15.4	14.5	0.95	13.2	15.2	-1.93
Ime Udoka	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	10	-15	15.1	15.1	0.07	13.5	14.0	-0.53
Beno Udrih	51	51	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	16.1	14.1	1.98	13.9	13.8	0.11
Donte Greene	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	8	-11	13.6	15.7	-2.08	14.1	13.7	0.36
Omri Casspi	52	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	10	-15	15.1	15.1	0.01	13.1	14.5	-1.40
Jon Brockman	14	15	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.06	-9	14	-23	16.7	14.8	1.89	15.7	13.5	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.84,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%
OKC 93, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
OKC 88, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.98,1,1	93.3%