NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	8.1 [214]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +20.4%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	3.5 [166]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -20.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.2	0.08	0.10	-0.02	22	58%	0.25	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Gilbert Arenas	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.01	17	56%	0.22	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Andray Blatche	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	10	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	12%	-0.13
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	12	63%	0.15	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	12	77%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	11	69%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	14	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	22	42%	-0.09	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	30.8	16.5	28.3	2.5	37.7	142.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.2%

TOR -9.1%

TOR -7.5%

WAS +25.4%

WAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.3	109.3	105.2	106.0
season	15.7	15.0		102.6	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		111.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	17.0	16.8	12.9	14.9
TOR	13.6	15.7	15.2	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	69	69	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.46	17	-13	30	14.6	15.7	-1.14	15.9	11.9	4.07
Antawn Jamison	90	88	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-11	26	14.7	18.1	-3.45	14.7	14.8	-0.03
Gilbert Arenas	76	78	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-11	26	14.5	16.6	-2.08	15.8	10.5	5.32
Dominic McGuire	19	18	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-10	24	14.8	15.0	-0.12	16.2	14.4	1.80
Earl Boykins	47	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	14.6	15.3	-0.75	12.7	16.6	-3.95
Nick Young	58	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	-1	6	15.5	14.2	1.31	15.9	13.1	2.81
Caron Butler	78	79	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	14	-24	15.0	14.8	0.12	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Randy Foye	13	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	14	-24	16.6	14.7	1.94	10.0	15.6	-5.55
JaVale McGee	14	13	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.10	-8	12	-20	14.6	15.0	-0.43	15.3	14.7	0.64
Andray Blatche	21	23	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.01	-18	22	-40	17.3	14.3	3.06	11.6	15.7	-4.18

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	42	42	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-8	12	13.4	15.8	-2.34	15.8	14.3	1.54
Marco Belinelli	40	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-7	10	12.6	16.3	-3.71	15.5	14.6	0.88
Sonny Weems	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-2	0	0.0	14.9	-14.91	0.0	14.9	-14.94
DeMar DeRozan	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	16.8	13.8	3.01	15.4	14.7	0.72
Hedo Turkoglu	76	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.53	14	-18	32	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.3	13.2	2.18
Antoine Wright	15	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	7	-18	14.0	14.9	-0.89	13.5	15.2	-1.62
Chris Bosh	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-4	4	15.4	12.0	3.38	15.0	14.5	0.57
Jarrett Jack	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	14.2	15.5	-1.27	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Jose Calderon	74	74	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.30	-15	11	-26	15.7	11.7	3.95	14.4	16.5	-2.08
Andrea Bargnani	72	72	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.51	-10	6	-16	15.0	13.9	1.12	14.3	16.7	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.08,0	92.4%
DAL 115, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,0	92.3%
MIA 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	91.7%