NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +14.0%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.1 [880]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (TOR): -11.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	10	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	15	62%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	13	73%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	10	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	11	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.01	19	53%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	59%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	26	50%	0.10	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	14	33%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	28.4	16.8	25.5	2.7	34.5	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.8%

TOR -10.3%

PHX +5.2%

TOR -3.8%

TOR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.4	15.3	116.5	97.9	106.0
season	14.4	15.0		113.5	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	14.5	12.5	17.6	14.4
TOR	14.8	14.9	17.0	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	77	77	0.69	-0.19	0.87	-0.02	24	-5	29	14.4	14.6	-0.25	15.6	14.6	1.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.07	20	-1	21	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Grant Hill	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-1	21	14.2	14.8	-0.64	15.8	14.7	1.09
Jason Richardson	74	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	5	9	13.9	16.0	-2.04	15.7	14.7	1.04
Steve Nash	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	5	9	14.0	15.3	-1.24	15.6	15.2	0.37
Goran Dragic	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	14	-9	15.3	14.0	1.24	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Jared Dudley	36	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	19	-19	14.7	14.2	0.46	14.8	15.8	-1.07
Earl Clark	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	21.3	14.2	7.15	12.3	15.5	-3.22
Lou Amundson	17	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.14	3	16	-13	15.4	14.2	1.22	16.6	15.2	1.41
Leandro Barbosa	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	26	-33	14.4	14.4	0.05	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Robin Lopez	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	20	-21	15.5	14.2	1.22	13.5	15.8	-2.30

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	34	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.25	13	-32	45	14.8	15.8	-1.06	14.8	14.2	0.56
Jarrett Jack	42	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-22	25	16.3	14.8	1.49	14.7	14.2	0.53
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	13.0	15.5	-2.50	20.0	14.3	5.72
Amir Johnson	39	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-19	19	14.7	15.9	-1.23	15.1	13.9	1.19
Antoine Wright	21	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.14	-13	-6	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.06	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Hedo Turkoglu	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-7	-5	15.7	14.3	1.44	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Chris Bosh	75	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-3	-13	15.8	14.1	1.73	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Jose Calderon	65	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	4	-27	15.4	15.5	-0.05	14.1	15.1	-0.96
DeMar DeRozan	48	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	3	-25	15.1	15.7	-0.60	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Andrea Bargnani	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.07	-22	3	-25	15.5	15.2	0.31	14.2	15.2	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
DET 83, IND 65	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
CLE 102, MEM 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%