NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	4.3 [964]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +16.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	87		Comeback	1.1 [1181]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -16.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	15	68%	0.21	2	-0.04	14	79%	0.01
Delonte West	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	9	95%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.02	0.04	4	110%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	39%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	5	17%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	11	66%	0.13	2	-0.02	16	94%	0.07
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	6	68%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	9	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	18	27%	-0.08	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.7	31.4	15.5	29.5	2.6	28.0	139.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.6%

MEM -0.6%

CLE +0.5%

CLE +0.1%

MEM -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.5	113.3	96.7	106.4
season	16.9	16.1		110.6	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.6	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	19.1	14.4	18.1	16.9
MEM	13.8	14.5	15.6	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.10	21	-6	27	16.0	21.9	-5.92	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Mo Williams	65	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	-2	19	17.3	15.6	1.68	15.4	14.3	1.13
JJ Hickson	50	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	0	15	17.5	16.1	1.36	16.1	13.8	2.25
Delonte West	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	4	7	15.6	19.6	-3.94	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Daniel Gibson	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	4	7	17.5	16.2	1.36	16.0	14.2	1.79
Wally Szczerbiak	39	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	3	9	18.2	15.8	2.38	16.3	14.4	1.91
Anderson Varejao	53	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	7	1	17.2	16.4	0.86	15.5	14.6	0.94
Lorenzen Wright	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	13	-11	15.4	17.6	-2.13	14.1	15.6	-1.54
Sasha Pavlovic	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	18.7	16.8	1.98	10.0	15.3	-5.32
Tarence Kinsey	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	18.7	16.8	1.98	10.0	15.3	-5.32
Jawad Williams	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	19.3	16.8	2.56	10.5	15.2	-4.75
Darnell Jackson	17	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	23	-31	16.8	16.9	-0.04	11.8	15.9	-4.05

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-18	21	16.9	14.7	2.14	18.7	16.4	2.33
Hamed Haddadi	9	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-13	11	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.0	17.1	-2.14
Darrell Arthur	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-12	9	12.9	15.9	-2.96	16.4	17.0	-0.65
Greg Buckner	35	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-11	7	14.5	15.5	-1.03	17.2	16.7	0.47
Mike Conley	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	16.5	14.4	2.04	18.6	16.0	2.62
Darius Miles	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-12	9	15.7	14.9	0.74	16.6	17.0	-0.34
Hakim Warrick	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	15.5	14.7	0.80	16.8	17.0	-0.21
Marc Gasol	74	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	15.4	14.2	1.16	17.4	14.9	2.49
Rudy Gay	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	14.6	16.9	-2.26	16.7	17.3	-0.56
Kyle Lowry	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.04	16.0	18.6	-2.62
O.J. Mayo	58	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	4	-23	15.7	14.2	1.44	16.4	17.7	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 129, SEA 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NJN 92, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%