NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	129		Excitement	5.1 [809]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +27.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	120		Comeback	1.0 [649]		LVP	Robert Swift (SEA): -7.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.25	0.06	0.04	13	96%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.01	11	105%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	16	68%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	19	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	52%	0.07	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.01	21	67%	0.20	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	7	85%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	13	79%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.6	29.1	15.8	27.2	1.6	27.2	126.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.7%

SEA -1.1%

PHX +6.4%

PHX +7.0%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.6	130.3	121.2	104.4
season	13.8	15.0		110.2	108.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		112.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	13.0	14.8	16.0	14.5
SEA	15.6	14.7	13.5	14.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	82	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-10	29	14.4	15.0	-0.62	14.3	16.4	-2.18
Steve Nash	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	1	7	14.5	14.5	-0.07	14.7	14.4	0.25
Raja Bell	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	3	3	14.7	14.0	0.73	14.8	14.2	0.52
Leandro Barbosa	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	4	1	15.0	13.6	1.34	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Tim Thomas	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	3	3	15.3	13.9	1.38	14.9	14.4	0.51
Boris Diaw	89	88	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	7	-5	14.2	16.8	-2.58	14.5	15.6	-1.16
James Jones	40	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	6	-3	14.2	14.7	-0.48	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Eddie House	33	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	10	-11	13.5	15.0	-1.50	15.1	14.4	0.73
Pat Burke	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	12	-15	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.7	14.5	1.24

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Swift	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-4	-1	15.8	14.4	1.41	11.9	14.9	-3.06
Mikki Moore	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	15.8	14.2	1.54	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Johan Petro	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-8	7	15.3	14.2	1.10	15.1	14.2	0.90
Damien Wilkins	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-10	11	13.9	15.5	-1.64	14.6	14.3	0.39
Earl Watson	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.3	0.45	14.6	14.3	0.27
Ray Allen	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-7	5	14.1	19.4	-5.32	14.7	12.8	1.88
Chris Wilcox	56	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	1	-11	14.7	14.5	0.17	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Luke Ridnour	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	14.7	14.4	0.31	14.7	13.6	1.15
Rashard Lewis	79	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	0	-9	14.5	15.0	-0.56	14.8	13.3	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, MEM 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
NYK 93, OKC 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.3%