NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	4.3 [937]		MVP	Jeff Green (OKC): +10.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	1.7 [797]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -8.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.04	10	68%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	5	30%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.08	10	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	12	55%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	7	94%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.03	21	59%	0.11	3	-0.08	14	86%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	7	76%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	15%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.7	27.3	16.7	30.1	3.5	31.3	142.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +33.7%

OKC +7.5%

OKC +4.1%

OKC +2.8%

OKC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	OKC	NBA	MIL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.3	97.8	114.9	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		103.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	15.7	13.5	15.9	15.4
OKC	13.1	17.0	13.1	20.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	39	40	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-26	34	13.6	16.7	-3.08	17.0	14.5	2.47
Kurt Thomas	52	52	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-23	28	14.3	16.8	-2.45	14.2	17.2	-3.00
Jodie Meeks	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-21	24	15.9	15.3	0.65	20.5	14.5	6.00
Francisco Elson	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.9	15.5	-0.58	23.1	14.7	8.45
Roko Leni Ukic	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.9	15.5	-0.58	23.1	14.7	8.45
Luke Ridnour	60	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-12	6	14.9	16.3	-1.33	14.4	17.7	-3.30
Ersan Ilyasova	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-8	-2	16.2	14.7	1.47	16.0	15.2	0.78
Hakim Warrick	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	15.1	16.0	-0.93	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Brandon Jennings	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-3	-12	15.4	15.4	-0.03	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Dan Gadzuric	20	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	2	-22	17.7	14.8	2.92	14.6	15.8	-1.26
Michael Redd	44	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	2	-22	16.2	14.7	1.43	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Carlos Delfino	50	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.08	-23	5	-28	16.6	14.0	2.64	14.2	17.1	-2.89

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	81	80	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.20	31	-13	44	14.3	23.6	-9.36	15.9	12.4	3.45
Russell Westbrook	70	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.21	30	-12	42	14.4	18.8	-4.35	16.1	13.0	3.19
Thabo Sefolosha	62	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.14	26	-8	34	15.4	15.8	-0.44	15.5	15.2	0.23
Jeff Green	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-6	30	14.7	20.4	-5.64	15.6	14.1	1.50
Nenad Krstic	48	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-2	22	14.6	16.5	-1.94	15.7	15.1	0.57
James Harden	52	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	17	-16	17.1	13.7	3.41	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Serge Ibaka	38	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.27	-14	32	-46	16.6	14.9	1.68	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Mike Wilks	19	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.17	-13	31	-44	20.6	14.3	6.30	13.5	15.8	-2.32
DJ White	20	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.18	-15	33	-48	20.1	14.3	5.84	13.7	15.8	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 89, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAS 72, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 100, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%