NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	4.2 [961]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +23.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	1.5 [1086]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -14.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.03	0.00	14	76%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	15	61%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jannero Pargo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	14	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	11	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.03	7	87%	0.14	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	55%	0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.04	16	69%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.01	0.06	8	86%	0.15	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	30.2	13.7	31.8	1.8	30.3	132.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.5%

POR +9.6%

POR +14.0%

CHI -6.0%

POR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	17.1	15.3	114.0	138.6	106.0
season	14.7	16.7		101.9	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	16.0	16.5	15.2	16.0
POR	16.4	13.4	20.3	19.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	12.0	16.3	-4.27	14.7	17.2	-2.58
James Johnson	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-18	12	13.3	16.6	-3.27	17.3	17.0	0.24
Jannero Pargo	27	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-16	8	13.8	17.0	-3.22	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Joakim Noah	56	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-13	2	16.5	15.2	1.26	17.5	16.2	1.27
Taj Gibson	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-15	6	15.9	16.4	-0.56	16.4	18.7	-2.31
Derrick Rose	71	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-9	-6	16.2	15.3	0.92	16.8	18.4	-1.59
Luol Deng	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-8	-8	16.5	14.6	1.85	17.5	15.7	1.78
Kirk Hinrich	40	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-6	-12	15.3	16.7	-1.40	17.0	17.2	-0.18
Brad Miller	27	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-8	-8	17.1	15.5	1.64	18.1	16.6	1.50
John Salmons	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	-4	-16	17.0	13.5	3.53	17.5	16.1	1.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	49	48	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.21	30	-6	36	16.7	17.6	-0.89	16.3	15.7	0.56
Brandon Roy	66	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	14	-4	17.2	16.6	0.64	16.3	15.1	1.19
Joel Przybilla	31	28	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	14	-4	17.2	17.0	0.14	16.5	15.8	0.71
Dante Cunningham	27	25	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	10	4	16.3	17.4	-1.06	15.7	16.1	-0.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	8	8	17.0	17.3	-0.36	16.5	14.7	1.80
Rudy Fernandez	32	33	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.23	18	6	12	19.4	15.7	3.67	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Jerryd Bayless	24	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	16	-8	14.7	18.0	-3.30	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Steve Blake	52	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.16	8	16	-8	16.9	17.2	-0.31	16.2	15.7	0.48
Juwan Howard	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	14.7	17.2	-2.58	12.0	16.3	-4.27
Greg Oden	48	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.22	7	17	-10	17.9	16.1	1.73	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Martell Webster	41	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	26	-28	17.0	17.1	-0.08	16.2	15.9	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 69, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ATL 76, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
POR 70, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.4%