NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	70		Excitement	4.5 [891]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +11.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	1.3 [881]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -21.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	12	40%	-0.05	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Rider	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.05	0.02	17	41%	-0.11	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	11	68%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	79%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	72%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	11	23%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.9	15.0	24.3	2.4	29.4	124.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.5%

CLE +9.5%

POR -4.3%

CLE +9.0%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.6	76.9	92.0	104.4
season	15.5	17.8		105.2	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.5		100.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	14.7	16.0	15.7	15.5
CLE	16.4	16.7	17.5	16.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	41	38	-0.02	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-9	7	17.1	14.2	2.94	18.1	15.7	2.35
Dontonio Wingfield	23	24	-0.11	-0.40	0.29	-0.14	1	-12	13	15.4	15.5	-0.12	16.7	16.7	0.05
Gary Trent	52	52	-0.26	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-10	9	14.2	17.2	-2.97	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Kenny Anderson	75	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.16	-4	-7	3	15.2	16.7	-1.54	16.6	17.3	-0.73
Clifford Robinson	73	70	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	-0.32	1	-12	13	14.6	19.1	-4.45	16.8	16.6	0.20
Aaron McKie	38	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	2	-15	15.3	15.6	-0.38	15.9	17.2	-1.31
Rasheed Wallace	60	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	4	-19	16.1	14.4	1.71	16.8	16.6	0.19
Isaiah Rider	69	68	-0.40	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-6	1	15.9	14.2	1.72	17.3	14.8	2.41
Chris Dudley	24	24	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	6	-23	16.8	15.0	1.78	14.5	17.6	-3.10

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	58	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-4	19	16.3	17.6	-1.34	15.1	16.3	-1.17
Bob Sura	46	47	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-2	15	16.2	17.3	-1.18	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Tyrone Hill	64	67	0.40	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	3	5	16.6	17.0	-0.39	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Chris Mills	59	62	0.35	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-1	13	16.6	16.9	-0.32	15.3	15.9	-0.66
Bobby Phills	55	57	0.30	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	3	5	16.8	16.6	0.18	15.9	14.9	1.01
Antonio Lang	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	13	-15	17.2	16.4	0.79	16.1	15.2	0.88
Terrell Brandon	65	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	12	-13	16.4	17.5	-1.03	15.0	16.8	-1.74
Vitaly Potapenko	24	24	0.11	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	8	-5	17.0	16.6	0.39	15.6	15.4	0.14
Reggie Geary	8	8	0.08	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	8	-5	20.5	16.3	4.16	16.9	15.3	1.53
Mark West	30	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	15	-19	17.6	16.3	1.34	16.3	15.1	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.6%
CHI 98, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
HOU 103, WAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%