inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 79 Excitement4.2 [951] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +10.4%
Denver Nuggets 105 Comeback1.7 [792] LVPDerek Fisher (LAL): -15.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bynum0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.031366%0.083-0.053100%0.01
Metta World Peace0.020,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.01-0.01-0.041150%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Morrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06517%0.0000.0020%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.031750%0.064-0.074100%0.02
Shannon Brown-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.110.00-0.10812%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Josh Powell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.03667%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Luke Walton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.001245%-0.021-0.02743%-0.03
Derek Fisher-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.030.0050%-0.092-0.0600%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.070.022058%0.183-0.073100%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.03772%0.0900.004100%0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.01868%0.0800.003100%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01473%0.091-0.02333%-0.03
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03744%0.0300.00450%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.051659%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01942%0.001-0.016100%0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00830%-0.051-0.024100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.737.119.728.23.426.6144.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +22.4%
DEN +18.1%
LAL -9.5%
DEN +16.9%
DEN +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game17.013.015.382.3109.4106.0
season15.714.4107.9110.3
opponent15.515.1106.4103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.617.517.216.717.0
DEN11.713.813.513.213.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Vujacic20190.12-0.620.730.23-4-221817.216.90.3612.813.1-0.30
Adam Morrison2523-0.01-0.490.490.08-3-232016.717.1-0.3913.213.00.19
Josh Powell2625-0.08-0.420.350.13-7-191217.017.0-0.0114.112.71.42
DJ Mbenga2322-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-221814.717.7-3.0514.612.62.02
Jordan Farmar2626-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-211616.717.1-0.4314.012.71.33
Luke Walton1110-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-201419.416.72.7013.613.00.63
Derek Fisher4747-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-7-191217.616.31.2712.613.5-0.94
Shannon Brown5151-0.28-0.22-0.050.34-21-5-1616.317.8-1.5213.412.60.73
Kobe Bryant6668-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-12-217.216.50.7313.212.70.50
Metta World Peace5152-0.40-0.10-0.300.01-14-12-216.917.0-0.1412.313.9-1.62
Andrew Bynum7374-0.41-0.09-0.320.23-22-4-1817.714.73.0512.614.6-2.02
Lamar Odom6163-0.560.06-0.620.12-23-3-2016.617.6-0.9912.713.7-1.01

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony61600.60-0.100.70-0.3733-74012.014.7-2.6918.115.12.97
Nene50470.57-0.070.64-0.042151613.212.90.3116.717.2-0.44
Arron Afflalo67650.51-0.010.520.071511413.412.21.1316.717.6-0.95
Chauncey Billups54510.450.050.40-0.111971212.813.3-0.4916.917.0-0.14
Kenyon Martin72710.360.140.22-0.232061412.614.2-1.6217.814.63.20
Chris Andersen46470.070.43-0.36-0.281214-213.013.1-0.1417.516.51.02
Ty Lawson42450.050.45-0.40-0.15719-1213.312.80.4917.016.90.14
Malik Allen10110.000.50-0.500.00026-2613.413.00.4113.717.4-3.66
Johan Petro12140.000.50-0.500.09-329-3214.612.81.7713.817.5-3.73
Renaldo Balkman10110.000.50-0.500.00026-2613.413.00.4113.717.4-3.66
J.R. Smith4545-0.050.55-0.60-0.23620-1413.512.60.9517.616.41.23
Joey Graham1113-0.060.56-0.62-0.06026-2614.312.91.4014.417.4-2.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 85, DEN 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MIN 100, UTA 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
UTA 104, LAC 1140.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%