NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	3.8 [1038]		MVP	Earl Watson (IND): +13.9%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.2 [1017]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -7.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	10	72%	0.08	1	-0.01	9	67%	0.00
Acie Law	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	20	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	19	39%	-0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	6	89%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	24	58%	0.14	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.07	12	52%	0.09	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	12	34%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	10	45%	-0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	28.5	15.6	24.2	2.3	36.7	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.6%

IND +5.7%

IND +13.4%

GSW -0.6%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	15.3	89.5	103.8	106.0
season	13.4	14.2		106.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	14.8		105.3	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	16.0	14.8	11.4	13.9
IND	13.2	12.8	14.0	14.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-19	24	12.4	15.4	-3.00	14.6	12.8	1.80
CJ Watson	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-17	20	10.0	15.2	-5.18	14.4	13.4	1.06
Anthony Randolph	67	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-17	20	13.0	15.6	-2.58	14.1	12.7	1.39
Acie Law	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-12	10	13.7	14.0	-0.35	14.6	13.3	1.29
Stephen Jackson	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-7	0	15.0	13.3	1.63	13.3	13.8	-0.45
Anthony Morrow	65	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-2	-10	15.2	11.8	3.37	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Stephen Curry	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	12.8	14.8	-2.04	13.6	13.6	-0.04
Mikki Moore	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	3	-20	15.6	13.0	2.58	12.7	14.1	-1.39
Monta Ellis	89	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	1	-16	14.4	11.2	3.24	13.7	13.4	0.22
Kelenna Azubuike	77	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	1	-16	14.9	11.3	3.56	12.8	15.6	-2.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	92	93	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-5	24	13.3	16.3	-3.06	14.0	13.7	0.21
Roy Hibbert	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-6	26	13.0	14.4	-1.38	13.4	14.6	-1.12
Dahntay Jones	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	-3	20	13.8	13.0	0.88	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Brandon Rush	74	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	7	0	14.0	12.6	1.39	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Earl Watson	74	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	11	-8	14.5	11.5	3.03	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Luther Head	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	11	-8	12.7	14.2	-1.54	14.6	13.5	1.08
T.J. Ford	11	11	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	7	0	11.3	13.9	-2.63	15.2	13.8	1.39
A.J. Price	19	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	10	-6	11.6	14.1	-2.50	14.0	13.9	0.08
Tyler Hansbrough	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	20	-26	15.3	12.8	2.46	14.0	13.9	0.14
Solomon Jones	41	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	18	-22	13.7	13.6	0.18	14.8	13.4	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 75, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHI 88, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%