NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	2.8 [1206]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +8.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	1.2 [1272]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -5.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nathan Jawai	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	52%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	11	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	68%	0.11	4	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	0.01	0.10	9	79%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	58%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	63%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	33.3	14.8	23.1	2.5	27.5	127.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.5%

POR +12.7%

POR +8.3%

POR +4.8%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.3	96.9	122.1	106.0
season	14.7	16.7		100.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	14.8		106.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.1	12.6	17.4	14.5	15.2
POR	12.9	13.6	17.8	16.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	13.2	15.5	-2.35	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Al Jefferson	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-20	17	15.8	14.6	1.19	16.8	13.0	3.75
Oleksiy Pecherov	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-15	7	15.6	15.1	0.47	16.1	14.5	1.57
Ramon Sessions	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-12	1	14.1	16.2	-2.13	14.2	15.6	-1.36
Sasha Pavlovic	44	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-18	13	15.0	15.4	-0.45	14.2	15.6	-1.32
Corey Brewer	49	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-9	-5	16.0	14.4	1.51	16.4	13.5	2.86
Ryan Gomes	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-13	3	15.9	13.8	2.16	15.8	13.2	2.69
Wayne Ellington	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-8	-7	14.3	16.0	-1.70	13.2	16.3	-3.13
Jonny Flynn	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-10	-3	15.3	15.1	0.27	16.0	13.2	2.72
Ryan Hollins	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-4	-15	15.6	14.9	0.64	13.2	16.2	-2.96
Nathan Jawai	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	-3	-17	14.9	15.5	-0.60	13.0	16.8	-3.75

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	10	3	15.4	14.4	0.98	16.2	14.1	2.13
Greg Oden	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	12	-1	16.0	14.0	2.03	15.9	14.7	1.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	48	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	11	1	15.5	14.4	1.10	16.1	14.2	1.88
Steve Blake	52	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	13	-3	16.1	13.6	2.52	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Brandon Roy	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	10	3	16.1	13.7	2.49	15.8	14.5	1.30
Martell Webster	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	13	-3	14.0	15.8	-1.78	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Rudy Fernandez	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	12	-1	13.6	16.3	-2.70	15.1	15.3	-0.26
Joel Przybilla	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	11	1	14.0	16.0	-2.03	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Jerryd Bayless	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	11	1	14.1	15.5	-1.34	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Travis Outlaw	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	10	3	14.1	15.5	-1.39	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Dante Cunningham	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	15.0	14.9	0.07	13.5	15.5	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MEM 94, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAL 96, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%