NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	3.9 [1009]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +24.9%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	1.8 [320]		LVP	David West (NOH): -10.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.26	0.03	0.04	9	93%	0.25	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.04	13	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	12	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	8	35%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	0.08	12	54%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.3	29.6	15.6	25.2	2.3	28.6	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.6%

TOR +1.0%

NOH -3.3%

TOR +11.5%

TOR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	16.0	15.3	116.3	101.1	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		109.6	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.3	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	14.4	15.7	20.6	15.9
NOH	18.0	14.4	17.1	14.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	56	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.15	26	-9	35	14.4	18.2	-3.84	17.1	14.1	3.01
Chris Bosh	58	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.19	26	-9	35	15.5	16.4	-0.88	17.4	13.6	3.75
Andrea Bargnani	67	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-2	21	15.3	17.3	-1.95	16.6	14.4	2.18
Jose Calderon	63	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-2	21	15.8	16.0	-0.21	17.0	13.6	3.44
DeMar DeRozan	36	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	10	-3	15.3	16.2	-0.86	16.5	15.7	0.78
Jarrett Jack	50	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	14	-11	15.2	16.6	-1.36	14.0	18.2	-4.22
Sonny Weems	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.0	15.8	1.21	6.0	16.4	-10.44
Patrick O'Bryant	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.0	15.8	1.21	6.0	16.4	-10.44
Antoine Wright	42	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	17.4	14.6	2.76	15.6	16.3	-0.75
Marco Belinelli	29	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	22	-27	18.4	14.7	3.78	14.8	16.6	-1.81
Rasho Nesterovic	12	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	23	-29	13.5	16.2	-2.71	13.9	16.4	-2.50
Amir Johnson	37	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	18	-19	17.8	14.6	3.22	15.7	16.2	-0.45

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	29	29	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-16	15	16.6	15.7	0.92	17.1	15.3	1.82
Darren Collison	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	6.0	16.4	-10.44	17.0	15.8	1.21
Marcus Thornton	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	6.0	16.4	-10.44	17.0	15.8	1.21
Hilton Armstrong	32	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-18	19	13.3	17.5	-4.19	16.7	15.4	1.33
Bobby Brown	47	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-11	5	16.6	15.2	1.38	16.8	14.8	1.99
Morris Peterson	23	25	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.00	-7	-10	3	17.7	15.3	2.39	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Darius Songaila	26	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-6	-5	14.3	16.7	-2.40	17.5	15.1	2.41
David West	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-11	5	16.7	14.3	2.40	15.1	17.5	-2.41
Peja Stojakovic	49	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-4	-9	15.3	16.7	-1.38	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Chris Paul	65	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-7	-3	16.2	15.3	0.87	16.0	15.4	0.65
Emeka Okafor	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.07	-18	1	-19	17.5	13.3	4.19	15.4	16.7	-1.33
Julian Wright	46	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	1	-19	16.1	15.8	0.25	14.5	17.4	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, WAS 63	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHX 102, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
LAC 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%