inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 105 Excitement3.3 [1119] MVPRasheed Wallace (BOS): +14.6%
Philadelphia 76ers 74 Comeback2.0 [903] LVPKevin Garnett (BOS): -18.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.210.010.0710100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Eddie House0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.150.010.075120%0.0900.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.001370%0.143-0.054100%0.02
Rajon Rondo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01773%0.073-0.031100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lester Hudson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.R. Giddens0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05861%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Ray Allen-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.04829%-0.022-0.041100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.01337%-0.023-0.05250%-0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.20-0.01-0.02717%-0.085-0.10425%-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.090.01-0.091127%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03325%0.0000.002100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.011453%0.042-0.05475%-0.00
Elton Brand0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01637%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02217%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.000.062125%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00444%-0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Lou Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.01-0.051032%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.03567%0.013-0.072100%0.01
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.020.03747%-0.022-0.061100%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.17-0.01-0.071631%-0.054-0.06475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.729.115.431.11.727.2132.4
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +36.6%
BOS +0.7%
BOS +3.9%
BOS +7.2%
BOS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSPHINBABOSPHINBA
this game15.615.915.3115.480.4106.0
season15.515.1105.7104.2
opponent15.815.7108.4102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.715.513.817.315.6
PHI15.613.916.817.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels51510.410.090.33-0.503103115.815.30.4816.315.40.88
Rasheed Wallace45460.380.120.26-0.503012915.116.0-0.8716.215.70.50
Paul Pierce60620.360.140.230.011219-714.517.6-3.0515.816.1-0.29
Shelden Williams43430.350.150.19-0.482832516.015.20.8116.315.60.71
Rajon Rondo53560.290.210.07-0.011021-1115.016.4-1.4115.616.3-0.71
Ray Allen59600.220.28-0.05-0.191417-315.914.91.0315.416.7-1.30
Eddie House28270.220.28-0.07-0.462381515.715.50.1516.715.61.13
Kendrick Perkins39400.150.35-0.200.06328-2515.315.8-0.4615.716.1-0.40
Kevin Garnett46470.120.38-0.260.03328-2514.916.3-1.4215.416.4-1.06
Brian Scalabrine980.000.50-0.500.06-233-3520.415.05.4116.615.80.79
Lester Hudson12110.000.50-0.50-0.15526-2118.115.22.8917.115.71.35
J.R. Giddens109-0.000.50-0.500.06-233-3518.415.23.1815.216.0-0.75

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney Carney1617-0.04-0.460.420.20-8-231516.415.80.6515.215.7-0.49
Willie Green2022-0.08-0.420.340.10-6-251915.316.1-0.7118.514.63.86
Jason Kapono2122-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-272314.316.4-2.0915.815.50.33
Jrue Holiday2323-0.21-0.290.080.14-12-19716.915.61.3516.615.21.33
Marreese Speights4444-0.23-0.270.040.41-22-9-1315.915.90.0116.215.01.27
Samuel Dalembert4747-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-7-241716.215.60.6815.016.2-1.27
Jason Smith2827-0.25-0.250.000.10-12-19715.915.9-0.0617.015.02.03
Lou Williams6261-0.26-0.24-0.020.39-22-9-1315.716.4-0.7415.216.3-1.14
Elton Brand5553-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.05-8-231515.616.3-0.6615.116.3-1.23
Thaddeus Young7270-0.41-0.09-0.320.44-29-2-2716.115.01.0915.416.0-0.62
Andre Iguodala7269-0.42-0.08-0.340.31-25-6-1916.115.30.7114.618.5-3.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 122, MIL 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
CHI 104, NYK 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
ATL 114, DET 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%