NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	5.6 [689]		MVP	Jason Kapono (PHI): +17.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	2.2 [760]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -13.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Roko Leni Ukic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	10	48%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.02	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Redd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	17	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Hakim Warrick	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.07	-0.04	8	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.04	12	53%	0.09	1	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	63%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	12	59%	0.09	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	31.6	15.7	34.0	2.7	28.3	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.1%

PHI +18.8%

MIL -2.5%

PHI +2.8%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	15.3	85.1	98.0	106.0
season	15.5	15.1		103.3	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	14.4	13.3	13.8	14.1
PHI	15.0	14.4	11.9	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	62	62	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-17	21	14.0	14.2	-0.13	15.4	12.8	2.64
Ersan Ilyasova	35	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-17	21	14.7	13.8	0.90	15.2	14.0	1.25
Roko Leni Ukic	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-12	11	12.7	14.4	-1.68	17.0	13.9	3.11
Dan Gadzuric	23	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-11	9	13.2	14.4	-1.20	15.1	14.2	0.86
Kurt Thomas	31	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-2	-9	15.5	13.5	2.04	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Brandon Jennings	69	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	14.4	13.5	0.83	14.9	13.3	1.59
Luke Ridnour	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	13.8	14.2	-0.41	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Hakim Warrick	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-7	1	13.6	14.4	-0.78	13.6	15.0	-1.36
Andrew Bogut	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	14.3	13.8	0.50	14.5	14.3	0.16
Luc Mbah a Moute	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-1	-11	14.0	14.1	-0.08	12.9	15.4	-2.51
Michael Redd	84	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	2	-17	13.9	15.0	-1.08	13.6	18.6	-5.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-5	23	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.3	13.7	0.58
Andre Iguodala	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-2	17	14.4	14.6	-0.24	14.6	11.5	3.16
Thaddeus Young	82	82	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	5	3	13.9	16.6	-2.73	13.6	16.4	-2.86
Willie Green	19	19	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	6	1	12.6	14.8	-2.26	12.4	14.5	-2.07
Elton Brand	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	4	5	15.1	13.5	1.61	15.0	12.8	2.17
Marreese Speights	28	30	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	7	-1	13.3	14.8	-1.56	13.8	14.2	-0.47
Lou Williams	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	6	1	15.1	13.1	1.91	14.6	13.2	1.35
Jason Kapono	51	49	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	16	-19	15.2	13.6	1.66	13.1	15.1	-2.02
Jason Smith	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	10	-7	14.6	14.4	0.23	18.5	13.7	4.78
Royal Ivey	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	14	-15	14.6	14.4	0.24	14.4	14.0	0.42
Jrue Holiday	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	17	-21	14.1	14.5	-0.42	11.3	14.6	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 107, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHH 70, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%