NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	5.2 [756]		MVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): +15.0%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	2.5 [739]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -24.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	15	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	73%	0.03	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jay Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.05	0.09	20	50%	-0.10	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.01	17	71%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	14	61%	0.15	2	-0.07	16	87%	0.10
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	8	65%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.06
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	18	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	25.2	15.5	34.6	2.4	32.5	135.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.7%

WAS +12.4%

CHI -3.4%

WAS +14.9%

CHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.5	98.9	107.4	101.6
season	15.0	16.5		98.3	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.4	16.8	14.3	14.7	15.5
WAS	14.9	17.5	12.4	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	53	54	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.32	19	-27	46	15.6	15.3	0.31	15.8	14.4	1.38
Jamal Crawford	52	55	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.33	17	-25	42	16.0	14.9	1.10	15.3	15.0	0.25
Roger Mason Jr.	15	16	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.18	10	-18	28	15.2	15.5	-0.32	17.4	14.7	2.73
Lonny Baxter	32	34	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-16	24	16.2	15.1	1.19	13.8	15.9	-2.16
Donyell Marshall	35	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-9	10	16.2	15.0	1.17	15.2	15.2	0.02
Corie Blount	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-9	10	15.8	15.4	0.42	16.3	14.8	1.56
Tyson Chandler	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	2	-12	16.1	14.9	1.24	16.8	13.8	2.94
Jalen Rose	79	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.09	-18	10	-28	15.5	15.2	0.32	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Eddy Curry	51	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	10	-28	14.3	16.9	-2.57	15.2	15.1	0.11
Jay Williams	46	43	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.00	-23	15	-38	14.3	16.6	-2.24	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Trenton Hassell	41	40	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	0.05	-27	19	-46	15.3	15.6	-0.31	14.4	15.8	-1.38

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	81	81	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.07	21	-13	34	15.8	11.2	4.57	16.2	10.6	5.63
Brendan Haywood	66	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-13	34	15.6	14.1	1.51	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Juan Dixon	88	86	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-7	22	15.1	15.5	-0.35	15.1	19.4	-4.27
Jerry Stackhouse	81	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.19	14	-6	20	15.5	12.8	2.70	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Christian Laettner	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	14.4	17.1	-2.67	15.3	15.9	-0.54
Bobby Simmons	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	1.5	15.5	-13.97	7.0	15.6	-8.56
Anthony Goldwire	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	17	-26	5.8	16.2	-10.39	10.9	16.0	-5.06
Charles Oakley	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	14	-20	17.6	14.6	3.02	16.9	15.1	1.83
Kwame Brown	26	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	16	-24	16.3	14.7	1.57	15.9	15.3	0.56
Bryon Russell	32	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.25	-18	26	-44	14.6	15.5	-0.92	15.5	15.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHH 70, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAC 92, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%