NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	122		Excitement	3.8 [1048]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): +12.1%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	2.5 [1032]		LVP	Rashad McCants (SAC): -6.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	-0.00	16	68%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	88%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	55%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	4	79%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	8	22%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	7	75%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	12	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.02	12	64%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	12	37%	0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	18	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.3	27.5	15.5	24.3	2.5	28.5	126.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +18.9%

LAL +6.9%

LAL +9.2%

LAL +14.3%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.0	15.5	15.5	120.8	103.0	106.4
season	14.9	15.0		110.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		112.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.1	12.5	13.4	14.4	13.0
SAC	14.1	16.8	15.4	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	47	48	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.32	32	-14	46	13.0	13.1	-0.03	17.0	14.1	2.95
Shannon Brown	21	23	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	2	14	11.4	13.5	-2.03	16.9	15.1	1.86
Josh Powell	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	1	16	13.6	12.6	1.00	16.5	14.8	1.75
Pau Gasol	79	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	7	4	13.0	13.3	-0.30	15.6	15.1	0.46
Kobe Bryant	65	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	12	-6	12.5	14.0	-1.45	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Sasha Vujacic	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	6	6	14.0	12.5	1.45	15.7	15.3	0.41
Jordan Farmar	32	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	6	6	14.3	12.5	1.82	16.3	15.1	1.13
Lamar Odom	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	15	-12	12.9	13.3	-0.38	14.9	16.7	-1.81
DJ Mbenga	16	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	13	-8	12.4	13.2	-0.79	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Adam Morrison	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	14.2	13.0	1.20	12.7	15.7	-2.99
Derek Fisher	48	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	28	-38	12.9	13.2	-0.23	14.3	16.5	-2.28
Trevor Ariza	48	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	28	-38	12.9	13.2	-0.23	14.3	16.5	-2.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	12.7	15.7	-2.99	14.2	13.0	1.20
Cedric Simmons	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	12.7	15.7	-2.99	14.2	13.0	1.20
Jason Thompson	77	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-16	14	15.3	16.1	-0.85	13.3	12.1	1.25
Beno Udrih	67	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-23	28	15.0	16.5	-1.50	13.0	13.2	-0.21
Andres Nocioni	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-9	0	15.0	16.8	-1.81	13.2	12.6	0.56
Donte Greene	44	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	-1	-16	16.4	14.8	1.61	13.2	12.9	0.33
Francisco Garcia	85	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-8	-2	15.4	15.7	-0.25	12.8	14.2	-1.37
Rashad McCants	21	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-1	-16	16.4	15.2	1.14	13.2	13.0	0.21
Spencer Hawes	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.13	-20	2	-22	15.6	14.3	1.34	12.8	14.9	-2.13
Bobby Jackson	38	39	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.22	-28	10	-38	16.8	14.7	2.06	12.7	13.2	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 117, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHI 151, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIL 106, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.01,0	94.6%