NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	8.2 [199]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +20.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	4.0 [320]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -9.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.02	6	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	13	70%	0.18	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	3	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.03	15	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	18	55%	0.25	1	-0.05	17	76%	0.07
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.00	14	59%	0.24	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	60%	0.17	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dontell Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,-0.05	-0.05	0.11	-0.14	0.02	20	68%	0.06	5	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	31.2	15.5	26.5	3.3	35.0	142.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +6.9%

CHA +27.0%

CHA +47.1%

PHI -26.0%

PHI -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.5	111.4	120.2	106.4
season	15.5	16.5		105.3	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		104.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	19.1	13.5	17.7	15.8	16.3
CHA	15.9	15.4	19.2	18.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	32	34	0.46	-0.96	1.42	-0.10	19	-22	41	16.4	16.3	0.17	20.0	15.2	4.79
Reggie Evans	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-5	7	17.6	15.4	2.18	17.7	16.7	1.00
Donyell Marshall	24	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-8	13	10.8	18.4	-7.56	16.4	17.4	-1.05
Willie Green	41	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-10	17	17.0	15.7	1.30	16.9	17.4	-0.48
Royal Ivey	19	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	4	-11	16.5	16.3	0.25	13.8	18.1	-4.33
Marreese Speights	33	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	4	-11	18.5	15.0	3.45	17.1	17.2	-0.14
Andre Miller	78	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.56	7	-10	17	15.9	19.5	-3.58	18.0	11.7	6.27
Andre Iguodala	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	3	-9	16.6	14.8	1.84	17.2	17.2	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	47	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.09	-23	20	-43	17.3	15.3	1.99	15.7	18.8	-3.11
Lou Williams	55	51	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	9	-21	15.3	18.0	-2.67	16.7	17.9	-1.15

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	55	58	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-9	21	16.3	18.9	-2.57	17.1	14.8	2.32
Gerald Wallace	79	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-1	5	17.4	14.2	3.17	16.5	14.2	2.26
Boris Diaw	79	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	17.2	17.4	-0.24	16.4	15.0	1.43
Emeka Okafor	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.51	2	1	1	18.2	13.3	4.89	16.2	16.8	-0.65
Raymond Felton	77	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	-2	7	17.4	15.3	2.06	16.5	14.7	1.74
Dontell Jefferson	8	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	0	3	14.5	17.5	-2.96	12.8	16.8	-3.98
Cartier Martin	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	14.2	17.3	-3.08	12.2	16.5	-4.27
DeSagana Diop	18	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	2	-1	13.3	18.2	-4.89	16.8	16.2	0.65
Juwan Howard	6	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	5	-7	16.8	17.2	-0.37	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.14	-14	17	-31	19.2	16.2	3.05	15.5	16.7	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.68,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	89.6%
LAL 89, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,1	89.3%
LAC 90, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.84,1	89.3%