NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	6.3 [558]		MVP	Al Harrington (NYK): +16.8%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	3.3 [224]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -17.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	19	55%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Quincy Douby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	18	40%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	12	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.08	0.04	14	65%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	14	65%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	10	35%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.2	16.7	22.1	2.3	29.6	126.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +13.5%

TOR +4.3%

TOR +18.7%

TOR +12.7%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	14.2	15.5	106.2	100.0	106.4
season	15.1	13.8		105.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.6	16.0	14.0	17.5	16.0
NYK	14.0	15.3	13.7	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	82	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.10	17	-10	27	15.9	16.6	-0.78	14.4	13.1	1.29
Andrea Bargnani	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	16.3	14.8	1.48	14.4	13.0	1.41
Joey Graham	45	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	1	5	16.3	15.7	0.58	14.1	14.2	-0.06
Jose Calderon	68	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	-1	9	16.5	14.7	1.74	14.2	14.0	0.23
Shawn Marion	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	8	-9	15.9	16.2	-0.24	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Jason Kapono	34	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	7	-7	17.1	15.4	1.67	14.2	14.2	0.03
Roko Leni Ukic	28	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	8	-9	14.7	16.5	-1.74	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Anthony Parker	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	4	-1	15.1	17.0	-1.88	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Quincy Douby	11	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	16.5	15.9	0.54	18.3	13.7	4.62
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	12	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.12	-12	19	-31	14.4	16.2	-1.79	12.4	14.4	-2.01

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-6	5	14.1	14.4	-0.28	16.1	15.5	0.64
David Lee	71	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.2	14.2	-0.05	16.2	15.4	0.72
Chris Wilcox	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	13.8	14.4	-0.58	15.7	16.1	-0.47
Nate Robinson	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.37	5	-12	17	13.4	15.3	-1.91	16.3	15.5	0.87
Wilson Chandler	51	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	1	-9	15.3	12.9	2.43	15.9	16.1	-0.25
Al Harrington	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	3	-13	14.3	14.0	0.29	16.1	15.8	0.30
Jared Jeffries	80	80	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	3	-13	13.9	15.5	-1.54	16.1	15.5	0.58
Quentin Richardson	46	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	4	-15	14.6	13.8	0.77	15.1	16.8	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.33,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 89, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.23,0.01,0	93.2%
UTA 89, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
MIN 93, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0	93.0%