NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	6.9 [430]		MVP	Glen Rice (HOU): +17.9%
Denver Nuggets	84		Comeback	3.5 [461]		LVP	Juwan Howard (DEN): -26.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.13	-0.02	12	56%	0.20	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	8	71%	0.16	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	10	57%	0.09	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.05
Moochie Norris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	31%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Terence Morris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	11	43%	-0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	9	79%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	52%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Trepagnier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	8	11%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.05	0.01	19	26%	-0.16	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	27.3	15.5	26.5	2.3	29.3	127.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.1%

HOU +31.2%

DEN -6.9%

DEN -15.3%

DEN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	97.8	93.3	101.6
season	16.3	15.7		101.7	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		99.4	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	18.0	15.0	19.4	16.4
DEN	13.5	16.3	15.6	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	79	78	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-10	25	16.0	19.6	-3.62	15.7	13.0	2.74
Yao Ming	69	67	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-10	25	15.3	20.1	-4.82	15.3	15.7	-0.49
Steve Francis	77	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	16.4	16.9	-0.58	15.1	17.3	-2.26
Eddie Griffin	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-8	21	15.4	18.0	-2.58	14.8	16.3	-1.44
James Posey	43	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-6	17	14.4	18.2	-3.79	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Glen Rice	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	11	-17	18.2	14.4	3.79	15.6	15.2	0.40
Terence Morris	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.33	-8	13	-21	18.0	15.4	2.58	16.3	14.8	1.44
Kelvin Cato	22	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	15	-25	20.1	15.3	4.82	15.7	15.3	0.49
Moochie Norris	26	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.16	-14	19	-33	18.2	15.8	2.40	15.2	15.5	-0.29

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	37	37	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-8	11	14.8	15.8	-0.92	17.4	15.8	1.54
Rodney White	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-3	1	14.1	15.9	-1.81	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Nene	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	15.4	15.4	-0.04	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Chris Andersen	28	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-9	13	16.0	15.1	0.90	15.6	16.9	-1.25
Shammond Williams	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	13.9	16.5	-2.57	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Vincent Yarbrough	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.43	5	-10	15	15.7	15.0	0.60	17.1	15.7	1.42
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	52	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	15.8	14.8	1.06	16.4	16.5	-0.03
Juwan Howard	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	0	-5	14.8	16.4	-1.60	16.5	16.3	0.19
Donnell Harvey	16	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	5	-15	17.1	15.0	2.05	19.4	15.9	3.45
Marcus Camby	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	0	-5	14.9	15.9	-0.99	16.7	16.2	0.46
Jeff Trepagnier	22	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	7	-19	17.4	14.7	2.63	16.8	16.3	0.42
Adam Harrington	42	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	1	-7	16.4	14.5	1.88	15.9	16.9	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.33,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.02,0	93.2%
UTA 89, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%
LAC 101, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.7%