inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 95 Excitement6.1 [613] MVPVon Wafer (HOU): +18.1%
New Orleans Hornets 84 Comeback4.5 [127] LVPRasual Butler (NOH): -22.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Von Wafer0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.100.02486%0.1800.00683%0.03
Shane Battier0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.040.050.01855%0.0800.004100%0.02
Carl Landry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02760%0.0400.006100%0.04
Aaron Brooks0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02882%0.113-0.071100%0.01
Brent Barry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00383%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Metta World Peace0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01-0.090.08-0.022336%0.041-0.034100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,00.02-0.020.00175%0.031-0.03667%-0.06
Charles Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00125%-0.012-0.07250%-0.01
Luis Scola-0.130,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.001544%-0.033-0.102100%0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00375%0.0700.002100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.06-0.01650%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Chris Paul0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.032155%0.072-0.0211100%0.06
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
David West0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.05-0.001744%0.073-0.082100%0.00
Julian Wright0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.021030%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00540%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.07-0.120.041342%-0.113-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.431.516.323.43.432.6131.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +31.5%
HOU +3.4%
HOU +10.3%
HOU +2.2%
HOU +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNOHNBAHOUNOHNBA
this game16.416.715.5108.097.7106.4
season16.316.6105.9105.9
opponent15.615.2106.0102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.015.317.916.416.4
NOH16.816.716.417.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier65620.64-0.140.770.2314-31716.416.4-0.0216.417.5-1.06
Von Wafer36350.52-0.020.530.1014-31715.417.1-1.6718.015.92.14
Metta World Peace75710.360.140.230.2256-116.913.63.2416.219.1-2.91
Kyle Lowry42400.360.140.220.1965115.617.1-1.5417.216.30.92
Dikembe Mutombo45450.270.230.050.0483517.315.41.9216.217.3-1.02
Carl Landry43410.230.27-0.050.1438-515.417.3-1.9217.316.21.02
Aaron Brooks46460.140.36-0.22-0.0156-117.115.61.5416.317.2-0.92
Charles Hayes11120.130.37-0.24-0.0465114.516.6-2.0919.116.42.73
Brent Barry15160.020.48-0.470.02011-1115.116.6-1.5817.016.70.33
Luis Scola6262-0.160.66-0.820.01-617-2317.014.82.1716.417.7-1.30

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Wright3635-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-111115.417.7-2.2216.316.5-0.20
Morris Peterson76-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-5-120.316.43.8713.016.6-3.62
Antonio Daniels88-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-5-119.516.43.0514.616.5-1.93
Tyson Chandler6668-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-9716.417.9-1.5217.412.74.69
Sean Marks2829-0.22-0.280.050.01-8-3-518.216.02.2013.817.7-3.90
Chris Paul7880-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.21-5-6116.419.5-3.0516.514.61.93
Rasual Butler7982-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-6116.420.3-3.8716.613.03.62
James Posey5254-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.15-110-1117.515.61.8916.616.10.52
David West7678-0.520.02-0.53-0.16-121-1316.617.8-1.2116.316.7-0.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 105, POR 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.57,0.33,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.1,0,091.7%
TOR 108, MIA 940.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.4,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,091.7%
ATL 79, MIL 720.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.05,0.09,091.3%