NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	7.6 [301]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +16.9%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	2.3 [548]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -17.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Matt Harpring	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	17	56%	0.10	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	8	31%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	15	59%	0.18	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.11
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.01	20	65%	0.27	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.00	12	62%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.00	10	46%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.5	29.4	15.5	28.8	0.8	34.2	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +61.9%

UTA -4.5%

UTA -22.4%

ATL +19.8%

UTA -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.5	100.0	108.7	106.4
season	15.3	15.8		107.7	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.0		106.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	15.5	14.3	18.5	15.9
ATL	14.1	15.1	18.4	13.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	44	45	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.01	11	-18	29	14.7	17.0	-2.21	16.2	14.3	1.88
Carlos Boozer	62	64	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-13	19	15.1	17.6	-2.55	15.4	14.7	0.72
Matt Harpring	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.2	15.8	1.34	21.7	14.8	6.90
Brevin Knight	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	14.7	16.1	-1.42	15.9	15.1	0.82
Deron Williams	80	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	16.1	14.7	1.42	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Ronnie Brewer	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.4	17.7	-2.26	14.6	17.2	-2.56
Kyle Korver	35	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	5	-17	16.6	15.5	1.10	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Mehmet Okur	59	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	16.0	15.7	0.33	14.4	16.5	-2.09
Paul Millsap	57	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	0	-7	16.9	14.4	2.49	15.3	15.2	0.09
Andrei Kirilenko	37	36	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	4	-15	17.2	15.1	2.12	15.4	15.1	0.33

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-2	11	15.1	16.6	-1.47	15.9	15.6	0.32
Al Horford	75	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	1	5	14.5	18.5	-3.99	16.0	15.7	0.31
Josh Smith	81	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	3	1	15.1	15.7	-0.58	15.6	18.3	-2.67
Ronald Murray	47	47	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	14.6	15.9	-1.31	17.4	14.4	3.01
Mario West	31	29	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	1	5	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Mike Bibby	52	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	11	-15	14.8	15.7	-0.94	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Acie Law	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	1	5	16.3	14.8	1.51	17.7	15.3	2.42
Zaza Pachulia	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	3	1	17.4	14.3	3.13	16.6	15.6	0.99
Maurice Evans	36	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	8	-9	15.1	15.3	-0.17	14.5	16.9	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.83,1	91.6%
PHX 81, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.84,1	91.5%
ORL 93, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.74,1	91.1%