NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	81		Excitement	8.0 [216]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (PHX): +12.8%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	2.1 [502]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -34.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	17	51%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	20	39%	-0.12	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	18	37%	-0.19	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	5	17%	-0.24	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	19	45%	0.04	4	-0.15	2	0%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	11	23%	-0.27	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	25.2	16.6	25.1	2.4	30.6	125.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.1%

PHX -7.6%

IND +27.2%

PHX -12.8%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.5	88.0	91.4	100.9
season	14.9	15.9		97.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.9	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	17.3	14.1	16.3	15.1
IND	14.5	15.4	17.2	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	16	16	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.01	12	-16	28	14.9	15.2	-0.23	18.4	15.5	2.94
Rodney Rogers	70	70	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-10	16	15.4	14.3	1.07	15.8	16.5	-0.64
Vinny Del Negro	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	17.6	14.6	3.01	16.2	16.0	0.23
Tom Gugliotta	59	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-10	16	14.8	15.6	-0.79	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Tony Delk	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-2	0	17.0	14.6	2.39	17.4	15.6	1.72
Jake Tsakalidis	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	3	-10	15.3	15.1	0.29	16.2	15.9	0.22
Shawn Marion	87	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.1	14.8	0.35	15.8	19.4	-3.59
Jason Kidd	80	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	1	-6	14.4	20.2	-5.89	15.7	18.7	-3.03
Mario Elie	51	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	6	-16	14.8	15.5	-0.64	15.2	17.0	-1.79
Clifford Robinson	37	37	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.35	-16	12	-28	14.9	15.3	-0.35	16.8	15.5	1.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	81	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-6	16	15.8	17.6	-1.82	15.4	13.7	1.67
Jeff Foster	38	36	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-5	14	16.1	16.0	0.09	16.5	14.2	2.25
Jalen Rose	86	85	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-5	14	15.7	19.3	-3.55	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Jermaine O'Neal	77	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	4	-4	16.3	14.6	1.74	14.8	16.7	-1.92
Travis Best	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.45	-7	11	-18	17.2	14.4	2.72	16.1	13.8	2.24
Sam Perkins	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-3	10	16.0	16.0	-0.00	13.3	16.0	-2.67
Derrick McKey	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	16.7	15.9	0.74	18.3	14.7	3.56
Tyus Edney	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	13.0	16.1	-3.13	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Jonathan Bender	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	4	-4	19.5	15.8	3.66	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Austin Croshere	46	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	15.0	17.0	-2.02	15.4	14.9	0.53
Al Harrington	37	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	10	-16	15.8	16.1	-0.27	12.9	16.5	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, BKN 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.72,1	93.0%
ORL 82, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.99,1	92.3%
MIN 90, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,1	92.1%