NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	7.3 [349]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (BKN): +21.8%
Brooklyn Nets	92		Comeback	1.7 [800]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -29.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	82%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	11	39%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.01	10	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Lance Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	13	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29	-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	23	37%	-0.23	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.04

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.18	0.01	12	69%	0.34	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	10	59%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	18	58%	0.20	3	-0.19	2	0%	-0.04
Cory Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	9	23%	-0.16	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	32.4	15.5	25.4	2.4	32.0	134.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +86.4%

NYK -12.9%

BKN +5.9%

NYK -32.1%

BKN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	17.5	15.8	15.1	100.0	108.2	104.2
season	16.1	15.3		98.5	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	17.5	16.7	20.6	17.5
BKN	15.5	15.3	15.2	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	34	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	17.9	17.3	0.65	15.8	15.7	0.05
Cole Aldrich	17	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	2	-8	15.2	18.1	-2.82	17.2	15.4	1.77
Shane Larkin	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	19.5	16.6	2.86	17.8	14.8	3.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	18.4	17.1	1.29	16.2	15.5	0.69
Lou Amundson	42	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-9	14	17.0	18.0	-1.07	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Carmelo Anthony	69	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-7	10	16.5	21.3	-4.85	15.6	16.4	-0.86
Jose Calderon	62	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-7	10	17.0	18.8	-1.84	15.4	16.5	-1.02
Jason Smith	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	4	-12	17.7	17.3	0.34	15.5	16.0	-0.41
Langston Galloway	68	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	17.6	17.1	0.53	14.9	18.5	-3.66
Lance Thomas	51	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	0	-4	18.7	15.9	2.79	15.9	15.5	0.41

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	64	66	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-8	20	15.3	17.2	-1.97	17.5	17.6	-0.17
Jarrett Jack	75	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	15.7	16.1	-0.39	17.4	18.0	-0.55
Bojan Bogdanovic	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	3	-2	15.6	15.9	-0.30	18.6	15.9	2.65
Kevin Garnett	40	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-5	14	14.9	16.5	-1.66	18.0	17.0	1.03
Brook Lopez	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	4	-4	16.5	14.0	2.58	16.5	19.6	-3.04
Alan Anderson	58	62	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	3	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.52	17.1	18.4	-1.24
Mason Plumlee	29	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	4	-4	16.2	15.5	0.69	17.2	17.7	-0.48
Cory Jefferson	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	24.0	15.7	8.35	0.0	17.5	-17.51
Deron Williams	46	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	10	-16	16.1	15.3	0.82	18.0	17.0	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 81, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.84,1	93.0%
DAL 94, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.92,1	92.9%
NJN 78, SAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	92.5%