NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	6.7 [473]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +19.3%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.9 [1012]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -11.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	70%	0.18	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	80%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	0.08	-0.11	0.03	19	58%	-0.00	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.04
Aaron Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Yao Ming	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	18	46%	0.02	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.02	19	65%	0.26	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.01	15	58%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.05	17	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	10	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	29.8	15.4	26.6	2.4	35.5	135.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.2%

HOU -9.4%

UTA +8.2%

UTA +0.0%

HOU -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.5	95.9	104.1	106.4
season	16.3	15.3		105.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	16.3	14.0	15.1	14.8
UTA	15.4	13.7	14.8	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	7	7	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-13	19	19.3	14.5	4.79	17.9	14.5	3.40
Von Wafer	27	26	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-10	13	14.4	15.0	-0.59	12.1	15.7	-3.59
Charles Hayes	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.6	14.7	0.90	11.5	15.1	-3.57
Kyle Lowry	47	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	14.6	15.1	-0.46	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Carl Landry	59	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-8	9	15.2	14.4	0.79	13.9	15.9	-2.04
Luis Scola	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	3	-13	13.8	17.0	-3.16	14.8	14.5	0.26
Yao Ming	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-6	5	15.5	13.8	1.69	16.0	12.7	3.23
Aaron Brooks	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	3	-13	15.1	14.6	0.46	16.0	13.4	2.60
Shane Battier	82	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	4	-15	15.3	12.7	2.57	15.4	11.3	4.06
Metta World Peace	80	80	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	5	-17	14.2	17.8	-3.67	14.6	15.2	-0.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-8	23	15.6	12.8	2.75	14.7	15.1	-0.33
Ronnie Brewer	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	14.8	14.5	0.32	14.0	17.5	-3.45
Deron Williams	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-1	9	15.4	11.3	4.06	15.1	13.6	1.44
Mehmet Okur	68	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	9	-11	15.5	12.9	2.62	15.3	13.6	1.77
Andrei Kirilenko	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	1	5	13.9	15.6	-1.77	15.4	14.3	1.12
CJ Miles	35	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	4	-1	16.2	13.9	2.30	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Matt Harpring	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	1	5	13.4	15.1	-1.68	16.1	14.5	1.66
Brevin Knight	16	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	8	-9	11.3	15.4	-4.06	13.6	15.1	-1.44
Kyle Korver	36	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	12	-17	13.7	15.3	-1.60	15.9	14.2	1.62
Paul Millsap	35	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	12	-17	13.0	15.7	-2.71	13.7	15.5	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.99,1	93.5%
ORL 84, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.0%
MEM 109, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	92.8%