NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	84		Excitement	6.8 [426]		MVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	2.1 [911]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -34.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	8	61%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	9	35%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Monty Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	15	55%	-0.08	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
John Amaechi	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.22,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.25	-0.11	-0.02	11	24%	-0.20	5	-0.15	7	43%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	2	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
John Starks	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	62%	0.05	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	61%	0.05	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	71%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.06	0.03	6	65%	-0.00	7	-0.20	8	75%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.31,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.07	-0.02	13	42%	-0.09	6	-0.17	10	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	31.6	15.7	28.5	2.4	41.5	146.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.0%

UTA +7.4%

ORL -6.9%

ORL -3.8%

UTA +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	15.5	84.0	100.0	100.9
season	14.6	16.0		101.6	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	12.4	15.3	13.3	13.8
UTA	17.6	13.8	14.7	14.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-12	9	15.0	13.7	1.28	13.2	15.3	-2.08
Andrew DeClercq	8	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-13	11	12.7	13.9	-1.12	18.4	14.9	3.50
Monty Williams	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-13	11	13.1	14.0	-0.87	15.9	15.0	0.91
Michael Doleac	38	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-19	23	13.6	13.9	-0.32	16.3	14.4	1.96
Mike Miller	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-7	-1	12.9	14.4	-1.53	14.7	15.5	-0.71
Pat Garrity	52	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	2	-19	13.6	14.0	-0.46	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Troy Hudson	15	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-6	-3	13.1	13.9	-0.76	16.1	15.0	1.07
Darrell Armstrong	85	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	13.9	13.1	0.76	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Tracy McGrady	81	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	13.9	13.2	0.70	15.0	15.9	-0.89
John Amaechi	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-4	-7	14.2	12.8	1.36	14.7	16.2	-1.44
Bo Outlaw	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-8	1	14.2	11.6	2.56	15.2	15.1	0.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-4	23	14.7	18.2	-3.54	14.0	12.7	1.24
John Stockton	67	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	0	15	15.1	15.3	-0.16	13.8	13.8	0.01
Bryon Russell	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-1	17	15.5	14.6	0.92	14.0	13.4	0.65
John Starks	54	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	9	-3	16.1	14.0	2.07	14.2	13.2	1.02
Donyell Marshall	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	10	-5	14.0	16.4	-2.37	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Greg Ostertag	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	7	1	15.4	15.1	0.25	13.7	13.8	-0.17
David Benoit	17	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	10	-5	16.9	14.8	2.14	12.4	14.1	-1.65
Danny Manning	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	11	-7	14.1	15.7	-1.64	12.3	14.4	-2.16
Quincy Lewis	26	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	13	-11	13.6	15.7	-2.16	12.8	14.1	-1.30
Jacque Vaughn	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	15	-15	15.3	15.1	0.16	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Olden Polynice	41	41	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.3	12.7	2.52
DeShawn Stevenson	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	15	-15	18.7	14.9	3.89	15.1	13.7	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	93.7%
MIA 91, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.66,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.9,1	93.7%
MIL 112, WAS 121	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.6%