NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	7.7 [269]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +27.1%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.4 [777]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -13.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	22	59%	0.22	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Derrick Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	76%	0.12	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	1	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	3	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	17	65%	0.28	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.16	-0.00	14	55%	0.24	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.07
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.00	4	110%	0.23	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	13	48%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.03	10	62%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.07
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	33.4	18.4	27.3	1.8	38.0	145.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.0%

CHA -0.8%

CHA -5.7%

NYK +15.7%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.3	101.1	107.7	106.0
season	16.2	14.7		103.0	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.6	15.7	17.7	17.4	16.3
NYK	14.2	14.9	15.0	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	16	15	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-6	8	16.3	16.3	0.05	15.1	15.0	0.13
Stephen Graham	32	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-7	10	16.2	16.3	-0.12	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Derrick Brown	46	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-5	6	16.0	16.6	-0.62	14.7	15.3	-0.53
Gerald Henderson	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-4	4	18.4	15.5	2.91	16.6	14.4	2.12
Acie Law	2	1	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-2	0	3.5	16.5	-13.05	2.0	15.2	-13.17
Ronald Murray	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-5	6	15.3	17.1	-1.88	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Boris Diaw	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-1	-2	17.2	15.4	1.72	15.6	14.5	1.10
Stephen Jackson	61	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	8	-20	15.8	17.2	-1.45	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Raymond Felton	79	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-3	2	16.3	16.3	-0.02	15.6	12.0	3.57
D.J. Augustin	39	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	16.9	15.8	1.04	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Tyson Chandler	77	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	2	-8	16.3	16.3	-0.05	15.0	15.1	-0.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	73	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	15.1	14.8	0.30	16.0	17.3	-1.25
Danilo Gallinari	68	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-1	6	15.2	14.5	0.67	16.5	15.7	0.81
Wilson Chandler	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-3	10	14.7	16.5	-1.85	16.0	17.4	-1.40
Chris Duhon	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	-1	6	15.4	14.0	1.39	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Al Harrington	55	58	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	7	-10	16.5	12.8	3.71	16.7	15.5	1.26
Toney Douglas	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	0	4	14.3	15.4	-1.10	16.4	16.2	0.16
Jonathan Bender	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	3	-2	13.9	15.5	-1.61	17.1	15.9	1.25
Jared Jeffries	62	63	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	12	-20	14.3	16.5	-2.19	15.8	17.3	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.67,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	94.3%
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	93.7%
ORL 84, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.7%