NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	8.4 [189]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +12.2%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	2.2 [708]		LVP	Grant Hill (PHX): -24.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.02	-0.01	20	64%	0.19	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	66%	0.13	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	14	65%	0.15	7	-0.22	3	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	16	42%	-0.02	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	11	27%	-0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	16	71%	0.30	6	-0.22	9	100%	0.05
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	0.04	17	58%	0.17	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	51%	0.14	5	-0.22	13	54%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	12	47%	-0.01	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	31.4	16.4	24.4	3.5	40.6	146.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.9%

ORL +23.0%

ORL +17.8%

PHX -12.4%

ORL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.1	15.5	95.2	103.7	106.4
season	14.1	15.3		112.1	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	13.6	13.5	13.3	13.2
ORL	14.7	13.6	12.7	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	43	44	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.03	10	-22	32	12.7	13.6	-0.87	14.1	14.0	0.10
Goran Dragic	26	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-10	8	13.1	13.3	-0.15	13.8	14.1	-0.34
Robin Lopez	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	11.2	13.3	-2.13	11.8	14.2	-2.35
Shaquille O'Neal	76	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-17	22	13.1	13.6	-0.56	15.2	10.9	4.38
Jared Dudley	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-3	-6	14.4	12.9	1.49	13.2	14.3	-1.02
Leandro Barbosa	83	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-9	6	13.0	14.2	-1.26	14.1	13.9	0.19
Lou Amundson	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	5	-22	14.2	13.0	1.21	10.6	15.0	-4.39
Jason Richardson	88	92	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	1	-14	13.2	13.4	-0.24	13.7	16.5	-2.88
Steve Nash	86	90	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.25	-12	0	-12	13.4	12.5	0.88	14.4	12.3	2.09
Grant Hill	68	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.19	-19	7	-26	13.4	12.9	0.44	14.4	13.4	1.04

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	70	66	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.19	18	-6	24	14.0	14.1	-0.08	13.5	12.7	0.78
Courtney Lee	73	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-5	22	14.1	13.9	0.21	13.4	12.8	0.61
Hedo Turkoglu	89	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-6	24	13.7	15.7	-2.00	13.5	12.0	1.47
Dwight Howard	65	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	0	12	14.4	13.6	0.76	13.4	13.0	0.41
Rashard Lewis	88	85	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	7	-2	14.0	14.5	-0.51	13.1	13.9	-0.81
JJ Redick	27	26	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	12	-12	15.0	13.7	1.21	13.5	13.2	0.31
Marcin Gortat	42	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	12	-12	13.6	14.4	-0.76	13.0	13.4	-0.41
Mickael Pietrus	44	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	16	-20	14.2	13.9	0.33	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Anthony Johnson	37	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	18	-24	14.1	14.0	0.08	12.7	13.5	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.0%
CHH 92, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	91.4%
TOR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.94,1,1	90.9%