NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	5.0 [832]		MVP	James Singleton (DAL): +8.1%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	1.5 [931]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -10.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	20	55%	0.12	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	45%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Jason Kapono	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	18	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.06	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Antoine Wright	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	33.6	17.4	24.5	2.3	28.7	135.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.4%

TOR -2.1%

DAL +10.0%

TOR -6.4%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.5	101.0	112.4	106.4
season	15.1	15.6		105.0	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		107.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	12.7	15.0	12.8	14.2
DAL	13.9	15.0	14.3	19.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	4	3	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-12	13	10.5	14.3	-3.83	23.3	15.3	8.07
Joey Graham	43	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-15	19	13.5	14.7	-1.19	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Roko Leni Ukic	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-13	15	13.6	14.4	-0.83	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Shawn Marion	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-6	1	16.0	13.9	2.08	14.2	15.7	-1.44
Marcus Banks	14	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	15.8	13.9	1.88	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Jason Kapono	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-10	9	13.2	16.3	-3.09	16.4	13.4	2.98
Anthony Parker	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	14.2	14.0	0.19	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Jose Calderon	72	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	2	-15	14.4	13.6	0.83	15.6	15.1	0.52
Chris Bosh	81	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	14.4	12.9	1.48	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Andrea Bargnani	77	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	7	-25	14.7	12.1	2.55	15.1	17.3	-2.16

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.16	18	-7	25	15.1	16.4	-1.23	14.2	14.2	0.01
Jason Kidd	68	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-13	37	14.8	17.3	-2.51	15.1	11.8	3.31
Josh Howard	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-4	19	14.2	17.5	-3.34	15.1	12.7	2.41
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	15.2	16.4	-1.24	14.0	14.7	-0.76
Jason Terry	39	39	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	8	-5	14.0	16.5	-2.49	13.4	14.7	-1.37
Brandon Bass	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	16.5	14.9	1.61	14.3	14.1	0.13
Antoine Wright	66	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	8	-5	15.7	15.1	0.57	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Devean George	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	15	-19	19.6	14.4	5.24	12.9	14.5	-1.54
Erick Dampier	13	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	11	-11	15.0	15.6	-0.60	15.9	13.9	2.05
Jose Juan Barea	39	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	19	-27	17.8	14.0	3.81	12.7	15.2	-2.52
Ryan Hollins	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	19	-27	18.3	15.3	2.99	12.3	14.3	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 78, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 89, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 94, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%