inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 85 Excitement4.1 [1012] MVPPau Gasol (LAL): +8.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback1.2 [1051] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -10.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.011256%0.0500.003100%0.01
Michael Finley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.01850%0.0300.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.05580%0.0100.0000%0.00
Austin Croshere0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01240%0.0010.0010%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
George Hill-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02433%-0.0000.004100%0.00
Ime Udoka-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07828%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.01333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.02-0.05731%-0.033-0.032100%0.01
Tony Parker-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.011750%0.024-0.10475%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.011141%-0.004-0.1000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01676%0.112-0.02989%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021758%0.101-0.024100%0.02
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.00778%0.082-0.00450%-0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.010.00881%0.124-0.065100%0.00
Andrew Bynum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.001054%0.062-0.05887%0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.01-0.01530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02250%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.08-0.00-0.07933%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01350%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.24.330.020.027.23.431.2144.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +33.1%
LAL +11.4%
LAL +0.5%
LAL +4.4%
LAL +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.013.715.587.6102.1106.4
season16.414.9106.6110.6
opponent15.415.7102.6103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.817.216.713.516.0
LAL13.712.815.313.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kurt Thomas36370.01-0.510.520.010-141415.616.2-0.5914.213.40.73
Austin Croshere1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-141412.716.4-3.6712.313.9-1.62
Ime Udoka2324-0.03-0.470.45-0.051-151612.717.0-4.3613.313.8-0.56
Bruce Bowen5653-0.07-0.430.35-0.256-202615.416.8-1.3513.514.0-0.49
Fabricio Oberto3838-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-182215.116.6-1.5214.413.21.21
George Hill3435-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-10614.117.0-2.9113.214.0-0.84
Tony Parker5757-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-9416.715.01.7114.113.10.96
Michael Finley4545-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-4-617.314.82.5314.912.72.24
Roger Mason Jr.3739-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.00-12-2-1016.615.60.9914.113.50.61
Manu Ginobili5151-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-173-2016.115.80.3312.814.7-1.83
Tim Duncan5554-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-140-1416.715.01.7313.214.3-1.06
Matt Bonner4241-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-195-2418.014.53.5213.513.9-0.39

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant63640.410.090.320.09113813.913.40.4217.014.02.95
Derek Fisher49490.390.110.270.031221013.713.70.0516.715.31.40
Andrew Bynum49490.370.130.230.07104614.013.40.5416.315.70.62
Pau Gasol72740.320.180.13-0.01113813.913.30.5816.414.51.97
Lamar Odom55540.310.190.130.0595413.713.70.0816.315.60.63
Luke Walton32330.230.27-0.050.0277014.013.60.4316.915.51.41
Trevor Ariza54530.190.31-0.120.07410-614.013.40.6115.416.7-1.29
Jordan Farmar36370.180.32-0.13-0.0586213.713.70.0215.516.3-0.75
Vladimir Radmanovic22220.090.41-0.32-0.00311-811.914.2-2.3314.416.5-2.09
Sasha Vujacic35330.020.48-0.470.11-317-2013.913.60.2314.616.7-2.08
Josh Powell11110.000.50-0.500.00014-1412.313.9-1.6212.716.4-3.67
Chris Mihm760.000.50-0.500.06-216-1812.313.8-1.5411.216.3-5.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 85, DET 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
NJN 84, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
SAS 72, DEN 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,195.2%