inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 72 Excitement5.7 [665] MVPJon Barry (DEN): +4.4%
Denver Nuggets 80 Comeback1.2 [1023] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -27.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.06829%-0.001-0.001100%0.01
Kevin Willis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.041442%-0.031-0.01862%-0.02
Ron Mercer-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.011354%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Malik Rose-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.01725%-0.1000.00683%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.01119%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15-0.05-0.040.061250%-0.063-0.084100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.16-0.00-0.0160%-0.093-0.0600%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.270,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.20-0.08-0.012235%-0.195-0.09475%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.01-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02837%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001346%-0.011-0.032100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.011447%-0.012-0.05683%-0.01
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0220%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.120.00-0.021044%-0.024-0.09786%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.200.00-0.061532%-0.083-0.06850%-0.04
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.04817%-0.093-0.05250%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.011423%-0.141-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.731.315.527.21.838.0142.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +35.5%
SAS -3.3%
DEN +20.5%
SAS -4.8%
DEN +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game13.814.615.772.077.7100.5
season15.914.9100.1101.6
opponent15.415.8101.192.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.715.815.310.413.8
DEN15.113.114.016.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose49500.11-0.610.72-0.159-172613.214.2-0.9915.214.11.10
Hedo Turkoglu62630.03-0.530.56-0.218-162413.214.7-1.4614.115.4-1.33
Kevin Willis990.02-0.520.54-0.042-101212.413.9-1.4316.114.51.64
Robert Horry3841-0.08-0.420.35-0.142-101211.515.1-3.6715.614.01.58
Anthony Carter2222-0.19-0.310.120.08-91-1016.612.93.7012.715.1-2.45
Rasho Nesterovic3232-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-102-1216.112.63.4514.214.8-0.62
Ron Mercer7074-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.31-2-6413.713.9-0.2614.415.2-0.83
Manu Ginobili7982-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.31-6-2-412.916.9-3.9314.813.90.89
Bruce Bowen6768-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-157-2214.412.51.8915.712.43.35
Tim Duncan7274-0.720.22-0.93-0.16-1911-3014.412.02.3813.716.9-3.23

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony62620.54-0.040.580.2211-31414.215.3-1.0913.813.70.06
Nene71690.440.060.390.1211-31414.514.9-0.4314.013.30.71
Andre Miller58560.390.110.280.2262414.315.0-0.6513.614.0-0.37
Marcus Camby58550.390.110.280.3035-213.915.5-1.6014.912.42.45
Voshon Lenard69660.310.190.130.1462414.015.9-1.9014.512.22.30
Jon Barry51490.130.37-0.230.1017-614.215.0-0.8613.913.60.25
Nikoloz Tskitishvili24210.100.40-0.30-0.0244013.315.0-1.7213.613.8-0.23
Earl Boykins54530.070.43-0.37-0.0235-214.914.30.6213.414.1-0.71
Ryan Bowen18170.060.44-0.380.09-19-1017.514.03.5010.714.4-3.67
Francisco Elson21220.050.45-0.400.0508-817.313.93.3613.313.9-0.55
Chris Andersen29300.020.48-0.470.13-412-1616.913.73.1812.314.4-2.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 85, DET 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
NJN 77, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MIN 91, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%