NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	4.3 [979]		MVP	DerMarr Johnson (DEN): +10.9%
Denver Nuggets	102		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): -10.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.01	0.09	13	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	9	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ronald Dupree	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	2	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	22%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	15	56%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	12	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Hodge	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	9	73%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	13	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	18	49%	0.08	5	-0.13	11	82%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	29.1	16.8	25.1	2.4	32.4	133.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +36.2%

DEN +0.2%

DEN +28.8%

MIN -16.6%

DEN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.6	95.8	107.4	104.4
season	16.1	14.4		101.0	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	15.9	15.5	14.0	15.5
DEN	13.0	14.8	14.5	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	36	38	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-12	13	15.7	15.4	0.31	14.9	14.8	0.13
Mark Madsen	42	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	14.8	16.0	-1.28	15.1	14.7	0.40
Ronald Dupree	32	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-12	13	13.9	16.3	-2.32	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Eddie Griffin	24	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-8	5	15.1	15.6	-0.52	15.6	14.6	1.03
Troy Hudson	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-10	9	14.3	16.3	-1.98	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Richie Frahm	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-10	9	13.0	16.1	-3.05	17.5	14.2	3.28
Anthony Carter	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	15.3	15.6	-0.28	15.0	14.8	0.21
Michael Olowokandi	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-2	-7	17.6	14.7	2.94	12.6	15.6	-3.04
Marko Jaric	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.8	15.1	0.64	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Trenton Hassell	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	15.8	14.9	0.84	14.4	15.6	-1.16
Wally Szczerbiak	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.03	-14	3	-17	16.4	14.4	2.07	15.0	14.6	0.38
Kevin Garnett	74	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	1	-13	16.0	13.6	2.44	15.0	14.0	1.04

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	63	62	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.09	20	-9	29	15.2	14.1	1.08	16.2	14.1	2.17
Marcus Camby	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	0	11	15.0	13.9	1.09	16.1	13.1	3.03
Carmelo Anthony	66	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	15.0	14.5	0.52	15.9	14.3	1.62
Andre Miller	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	14.4	15.8	-1.34	15.8	14.7	1.13
Greg Buckner	50	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	9	-7	15.5	14.1	1.39	14.6	16.3	-1.74
Francisco Elson	26	28	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	4	3	12.7	15.7	-2.96	16.7	15.0	1.76
Earl Boykins	50	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	7	-3	15.6	14.0	1.56	14.0	17.0	-2.96
Eduardo Najera	49	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	8	-5	14.7	15.0	-0.39	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Julius Hodge	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	0.0	14.8	-14.84	11.0	15.5	-4.52
Linas Kleiza	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	6.0	15.0	-9.03	8.0	15.7	-7.72
Voshon Lenard	23	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	14	-17	14.5	15.0	-0.48	14.2	15.9	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
POR 79, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NOP 92, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%