inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 87 Excitement3.6 [1080] MVPCharlie Villanueva (MIL): +12.7%
Atlanta Hawks 117 Comeback1.3 [976] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -15.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0.130,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.19-0.010.051490%0.213-0.082100%0.01
Tyronn Lue0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03757%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.01744%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Damon Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06480%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Joe Alexander-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.07550%0.004-0.01250%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01233%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Michael Redd-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.011450%0.032-0.05475%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01727%-0.051-0.0010%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.02614%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00420%-0.051-0.0220%-0.03
Richard Jefferson-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00631%-0.051-0.03475%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.250.000.131393%0.1200.001100%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.010.051571%0.141-0.02450%-0.02
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.02-0.01861%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.04882%0.101-0.01667%-0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.01382%0.0900.005100%0.03
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Thomas Gardner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Othello Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.060.000.08378%-0.0100.003100%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.02-0.001048%0.034-0.08580%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.011135%-0.065-0.10475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.324.715.628.51.726.6128.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +37.0%
ATL +6.5%
ATL +1.9%
ATL +2.0%
ATL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILATLNBAMILATLNBA
this game15.114.715.590.6120.6106.4
season15.015.8104.9106.7
opponent16.115.6106.0105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.616.015.114.015.1
ATL12.217.614.315.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Jones2122-0.00-0.500.490.23-8-221413.415.6-2.2516.214.31.90
Malik Allen2425-0.01-0.490.470.31-11-19814.015.5-1.5715.414.50.93
Dan Gadzuric3031-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-262215.115.2-0.0512.116.0-3.89
Joe Alexander3234-0.13-0.370.250.34-16-14-215.215.10.1714.314.9-0.64
Charlie Villanueva5253-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-292814.615.8-1.2215.114.30.80
Tyronn Lue5253-0.16-0.340.180.31-16-14-214.515.9-1.3415.913.32.55
Richard Jefferson4242-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-231615.514.90.6114.914.60.30
Ramon Sessions2121-0.23-0.270.050.18-14-16218.114.33.8514.014.9-0.85
Luke Ridnour5555-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.00-10-201014.915.5-0.5714.415.1-0.76
Michael Redd6564-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-201015.414.50.9614.614.9-0.35
Francisco Elson2625-0.41-0.09-0.330.20-21-9-1216.414.71.7114.914.60.28
Luc Mbah a Moute6060-0.48-0.02-0.470.45-322-3415.214.90.3114.614.9-0.29

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Evans66650.400.100.30-0.362642215.712.63.0416.013.32.68
Zaza Pachulia48460.370.130.24-0.101614213.515.9-2.4415.314.90.41
Marvin Williams55540.360.140.21-0.051416-214.614.8-0.2214.915.4-0.48
Joe Johnson59600.350.150.200.031119-815.014.30.7415.814.01.86
Mike Bibby60600.330.170.15-0.292191214.015.9-1.9115.215.10.08
Ronald Murray45460.310.190.12-0.452642213.915.4-1.4915.414.90.57
Josh Smith67660.180.32-0.14-0.111020-1014.116.1-2.0115.214.90.34
Solomon Jones30310.170.33-0.16-0.391911814.814.70.1315.315.00.28
Mario West13120.050.45-0.410.05030-3017.314.33.0012.215.5-3.30
Othello Hunter15150.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2217.514.23.2613.415.5-2.06
Randolph Morris440.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2816.014.71.3413.215.2-1.97
Thomas Gardner2321-0.010.51-0.53-0.07228-2615.714.41.2312.415.9-3.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 95, BOS 1160.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MIA 77, MIN 940.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
LAC 101, UTA 1210.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%