NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	3.2 [1138]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +21.8%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	1.2 [1279]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAC): -6.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	19	84%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.13	8	76%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.03	0.03	15	94%	0.25	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.02	0.07	22	72%	0.18	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	33.0	15.6	28.3	2.5	26.2	136.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.8%

LAC -9.5%

UTA +15.1%

UTA +6.6%

UTA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.4	113.5	134.4	105.7
season	15.6	15.5		99.5	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.0	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	15.0	16.3	15.9	15.5
UTA	16.6	14.4	18.9	17.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-25	30	13.6	15.8	-2.17	18.7	16.4	2.32
Nick Fazekas	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.19	-7	-13	6	16.8	15.4	1.42	16.6	16.7	-0.12
Brevin Knight	46	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-19	18	14.9	16.1	-1.22	16.5	17.0	-0.46
Al Thornton	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-10	0	15.3	15.7	-0.37	16.1	17.6	-1.55
Josh Powell	77	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-16	12	15.1	17.8	-2.74	16.6	17.3	-0.72
Tim Thomas	20	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-6	-8	15.8	15.3	0.50	16.7	16.7	0.03
Chris Kaman	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-8	-4	15.7	14.5	1.24	16.8	16.2	0.59
Corey Maggette	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-7	-6	15.0	16.6	-1.58	16.4	17.6	-1.22
Smush Parker	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	-1	-18	16.1	14.9	1.22	17.0	16.5	0.46
Cuttino Mobley	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.31	-25	5	-30	16.4	13.6	2.78	17.2	15.8	1.43

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	2	16	16.1	18.6	-2.55	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Deron Williams	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	12	-4	16.7	16.7	-0.01	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Carlos Boozer	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	1	18	16.4	17.7	-1.34	15.5	15.2	0.27
Kyle Korver	56	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	5	10	16.0	17.8	-1.79	15.6	15.3	0.24
Matt Harpring	35	37	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	7	6	17.2	16.4	0.80	16.5	14.7	1.85
Jarron Collins	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	17	-14	18.2	15.3	2.87	15.5	15.5	-0.01
CJ Miles	40	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	17	-14	17.7	15.9	1.82	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Ronnie Price	25	23	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.22	12	8	4	16.7	16.7	0.01	15.6	15.4	0.20
Jason Hart	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	12	-4	17.4	16.4	1.09	16.2	15.1	1.10
Andrei Kirilenko	20	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	19	-18	14.6	17.3	-2.65	13.0	16.1	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 81, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NJN 64, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 88, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%