NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	3.4 [1123]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +11.7%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	1.3 [477]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -10.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	20	63%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	15	61%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.06	13	54%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.08	12	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	73%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	13	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	46%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	4.3	29.6	18.6	32.2	2.7	28.0	143.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.5%

DET -11.6%

DET -1.8%

DAL +19.6%

DET -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DET	NBA	DAL	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.5	124.4	101.1	106.4
season	15.6	16.9		108.9	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		106.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	14.3	16.5	20.0	15.5
DET	16.6	17.0	17.0	15.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	72	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	7	7	15.9	13.9	1.99	17.0	14.9	2.10
Dirk Nowitzki	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	2	17	15.1	16.8	-1.64	17.0	14.8	2.22
Jason Kidd	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	0	21	14.4	18.3	-3.85	17.0	15.1	1.86
Jason Terry	59	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	10	1	16.5	13.8	2.68	17.1	15.4	1.69
Brandon Bass	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.08	12	9	3	15.5	15.5	-0.02	16.0	17.2	-1.26
Erick Dampier	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	16	-11	16.8	14.5	2.30	16.5	16.4	0.15
Jose Juan Barea	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	18	-15	16.0	15.4	0.69	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Antoine Wright	43	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	16	-11	15.4	15.6	-0.18	16.0	17.0	-0.98
James Singleton	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	15	-9	13.9	15.9	-1.92	15.7	16.6	-0.96
Matt Carroll	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	17	-13	12.2	15.7	-3.44	12.5	16.7	-4.15
Ryan Hollins	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	16	-11	14.2	15.6	-1.41	11.7	16.8	-5.14

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	11.8	17.1	-5.30	17.8	15.2	2.60
Kwame Brown	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.9	17.1	-4.27	21.6	14.4	7.15
Jason Maxiell	32	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-23	25	15.5	17.0	-1.45	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Will Bynum	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-20	19	15.5	17.2	-1.74	16.8	14.6	2.23
Arron Afflalo	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-16	11	16.2	16.6	-0.43	18.5	14.0	4.50
Antonio McDyess	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-13	5	17.7	15.8	1.89	16.7	14.9	1.74
Amir Johnson	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-10	-1	16.2	16.7	-0.56	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Richard Hamilton	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-9	-3	16.9	16.0	0.98	15.0	16.1	-1.03
Rasheed Wallace	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-4	-13	17.2	15.4	1.76	14.5	17.1	-2.58
Tayshaun Prince	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-9	-3	16.8	16.1	0.65	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Rodney Stuckey	50	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	-1	-19	17.2	15.5	1.74	14.6	16.8	-2.23
Allen Iverson	49	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	1	-23	17.3	15.5	1.75	14.2	17.2	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 104, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAL 115, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%