NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	5.1 [812]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +22.7%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	1.0 [1045]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -18.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.05	0.01	14	77%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.19	-0.02	0.08	17	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	15	56%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.06
Mehmet Okur	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	13	26%	-0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	13	77%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.02	15	66%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	76%	0.18	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.05
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	4	112%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	10	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	0.00	9	24%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	9	11%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.2	16.3	27.8	1.7	37.5	135.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.2%

HOU +14.6%

HOU +7.7%

UTA -16.0%

HOU +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	110.0	120.0	106.4
season	15.3	16.3		107.7	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.1	14.8	16.6	13.1	16.0
HOU	14.1	17.2	16.1	16.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	16.7	15.8	0.90	16.4	15.8	0.59
CJ Miles	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-7	5	19.0	14.1	4.94	16.3	15.7	0.62
Kosta Koufos	26	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	16.4	15.9	0.55	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Jarron Collins	10	9	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-1	-7	20.9	15.4	5.47	11.0	16.5	-5.52
Paul Millsap	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-10	11	15.0	18.6	-3.58	17.3	12.3	4.95
Brevin Knight	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	0	-9	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.8	16.0	-0.28
Deron Williams	70	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-7	5	15.6	17.5	-1.89	16.5	14.1	2.36
Kyle Korver	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	14.0	18.7	-4.78	15.5	16.6	-1.11
Ronnie Brewer	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	0	-9	16.1	15.9	0.11	15.2	18.7	-3.51
Mehmet Okur	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	3	-15	15.8	16.8	-1.04	16.1	15.7	0.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	53	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-8	25	16.8	14.8	2.05	17.5	13.9	3.59
Von Wafer	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	1	7	15.4	17.3	-1.87	15.6	17.2	-1.63
Rafer Alston	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	0	9	15.4	17.7	-2.32	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Brent Barry	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	16.5	15.6	0.91	17.3	14.9	2.35
Shane Battier	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	6	-3	15.8	16.6	-0.85	15.4	18.0	-2.57
Luis Scola	66	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	15.7	16.6	-0.84	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Carl Landry	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	12	-15	17.2	14.8	2.47	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Aaron Brooks	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	6	-3	16.9	15.5	1.38	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Charles Hayes	14	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	12.6	16.6	-3.94	14.0	16.4	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
MEM 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.2%
TOR 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	94.9%