NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	104		Excitement	5.1 [798]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +17.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	1.2 [695]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	28	55%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	9	68%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	46%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	20	63%	0.21	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	15	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	7	39%	-0.03	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.04	0.04	12	47%	-0.05	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	24.5	16.5	28.0	2.7	27.2	128.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.6%

OKC -3.8%

MIA +0.2%

MIA +14.7%

MIA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	OKC	NBA	MIA	OKC	NBA
this game	16.5	13.7	15.5	107.2	101.1	106.4
season	16.0	14.9		105.9	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.5	18.3	15.7	19.3	16.5
OKC	13.1	13.6	13.7	14.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-6	22	17.0	14.9	2.07	13.4	15.0	-1.57
Udonis Haslem	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-1	12	17.7	11.9	5.83	13.1	16.4	-3.28
Mario Chalmers	60	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-1	12	17.0	15.7	1.37	13.0	14.9	-1.85
Jamaal Magloire	60	54	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	8	-6	16.9	16.0	0.89	14.1	13.3	0.77
Joel Anthony	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-2	14	15.4	17.1	-1.67	13.6	13.8	-0.27
Daequan Cook	60	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	6	-2	16.5	16.6	-0.11	13.7	13.8	-0.13
Yakhouba Diawara	58	55	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	10	-10	16.0	17.3	-1.35	14.2	13.1	1.15
Chris Quinn	38	36	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	13	-16	15.3	17.3	-2.08	15.1	12.9	2.21
Michael Beasley	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	13	-16	13.8	17.3	-3.50	15.0	13.4	1.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	24	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-14	18	16.5	12.8	3.79	16.4	16.6	-0.14
Chris Wilcox	15	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-10	10	13.1	13.9	-0.79	16.9	16.4	0.43
Earl Watson	45	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	14.9	12.7	2.20	15.8	17.2	-1.45
Nenad Krstic	49	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-8	6	13.8	13.6	0.22	15.3	17.9	-2.58
Nick Collison	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	13.6	13.8	-0.22	17.9	15.3	2.58
Desmond Mason	58	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	12.7	15.5	-2.81	16.2	17.0	-0.74
Russell Westbrook	71	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	13.7	13.7	0.06	16.8	15.8	0.97
Kevin Durant	88	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	13.6	15.2	-1.55	16.4	20.0	-3.62
Jeff Green	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	5	-20	13.2	15.6	-2.44	17.2	14.8	2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.08,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, MIA 64	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
HOU 74, PHI 66	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 98, VAN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%