NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	104		Excitement	6.0 [623]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +22.2%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	2.2 [677]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -15.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	6	36%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	24	55%	0.13	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David West	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	18	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.06	0.02	15	78%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.04	0.03	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	17	53%	0.11	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	27.6	16.6	22.3	2.6	32.4	125.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +17.8%

DAL -4.8%

NOH +13.5%

NOH +23.4%

NOH +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DAL	NBA	NOH	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.5	116.9	109.0	106.4
season	16.6	15.6		105.9	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		107.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.8	16.7	14.0	17.8	16.3
DAL	15.2	16.8	16.5	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	15.7	21.2	-5.52	15.7	18.6	-2.87
James Posey	45	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	18.1	14.5	3.61	16.3	15.8	0.47
Devin Brown	27	28	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-2	11	19.0	15.1	3.92	18.5	14.9	3.62
David West	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	15.6	20.0	-4.39	15.9	17.2	-1.38
Tyson Chandler	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	2	3	16.3	16.2	0.12	15.5	18.5	-2.98
Sean Marks	8	9	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	0	7	12.2	16.7	-4.45	20.6	15.5	5.01
Peja Stojakovic	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	4	-1	15.3	19.8	-4.50	14.8	20.4	-5.60
Antonio Daniels	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	8	-9	21.2	15.7	5.52	18.6	15.7	2.87
Melvin Ely	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	9	-11	20.0	15.8	4.16	18.4	15.8	2.66
Rasual Butler	41	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	14.5	17.9	-3.41	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Hilton Armstrong	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	22.0	15.9	6.11	17.7	15.9	1.80

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	9	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-8	9	16.2	16.0	0.18	17.6	16.2	1.45
Devean George	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-8	9	18.6	15.6	3.07	22.1	15.3	6.76
Erick Dampier	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.4	15.8	0.61	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Gerald Green	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.1	16.0	0.04	14.7	16.9	-2.17
Jose Juan Barea	22	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	19.5	14.9	4.57	17.2	16.0	1.16
Jason Terry	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-9	11	16.0	16.1	-0.03	17.0	14.7	2.28
Brandon Bass	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.7	16.9	-1.22	16.8	15.2	1.68
Jason Kidd	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	15.1	20.6	-5.49	16.0	17.6	-1.54
Antoine Wright	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	1	-9	15.5	18.4	-2.91	15.2	21.5	-6.29
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.34	-9	2	-11	16.2	15.5	0.65	16.0	17.7	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.01,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.1%
UTA 97, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	92.9%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.6%