NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	3.9 [1044]		MVP	Jeff Green (OKC): +14.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	1.1 [398]		LVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): -10.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	18	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	9	67%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	12	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	13	74%	0.14	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	85%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	72%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	14	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	12	58%	0.11	6	-0.11	12	83%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	70%	0.03	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	26.3	15.8	28.5	2.0	30.3	131.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +31.8%

OKC +9.9%

OKC +15.9%

UTA -6.9%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	95.9	117.5	106.4
season	15.3	14.9		107.7	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	15.0	14.5	13.6	14.9
OKC	13.2	17.8	12.7	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	34	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-26	31	15.6	14.6	0.96	16.5	13.8	2.74
Kyle Korver	66	66	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-24	27	14.8	15.3	-0.52	15.6	12.9	2.72
Jarron Collins	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	10.8	15.2	-4.36	12.7	14.8	-2.09
Morris Almond	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	10.8	15.2	-4.36	12.7	14.8	-2.09
Brevin Knight	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-21	21	15.5	14.7	0.78	14.9	14.7	0.21
Kosta Koufos	57	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-14	7	14.6	15.4	-0.79	14.8	14.7	0.08
Mehmet Okur	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-8	-5	15.1	14.6	0.54	14.7	14.8	-0.01
Deron Williams	69	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	-4	-13	14.7	15.6	-0.99	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Andrei Kirilenko	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	-4	-13	14.9	15.0	-0.08	15.0	13.4	1.70
Ronnie Price	31	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	3	-27	15.3	14.8	0.52	12.9	15.6	-2.72
Ronnie Brewer	43	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.16	-27	6	-33	15.7	14.3	1.36	13.2	16.0	-2.86

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	77	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	4	13	14.4	16.0	-1.57	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Desmond Mason	48	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	1	19	13.6	15.9	-2.36	15.2	14.6	0.62
Jeff Green	90	88	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	0	21	14.6	16.4	-1.81	15.0	14.3	0.67
Russell Westbrook	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	0	21	14.8	14.6	0.21	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Nick Collison	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	-1	23	15.4	11.6	3.77	15.0	14.8	0.15
Kyle Weaver	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	21	-21	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.9	14.5	1.39
Earl Watson	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	21	-21	14.6	14.8	-0.21	15.2	14.8	0.46
Chucky Atkins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.5	14.8	-2.30	9.0	15.1	-6.06
Nenad Krstic	63	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	19	-17	15.4	13.6	1.79	14.4	16.0	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 77, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 73, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NYK 105, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%