inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 109 Excitement10.8 [42] MVPNick Collison (OKC): +18.4%
Chicago Bulls 98 Comeback4.9 [109] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -35.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0.180,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.180.150.040.011272%0.1800.00560%-0.06
Kyle Weaver0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00167%0.031-0.024100%0.02
Desmond Mason-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00850%0.031-0.034100%0.04
Nenad Krstic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.02757%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.020.012058%0.116-0.15887%0.02
Earl Watson-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.02-0.021020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Green-0.140,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.27,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.021733%-0.043-0.10875%0.07
Russell Westbrook-0.350,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.16-0.22-0.032031%-0.223-0.13580%0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.04-0.031050%0.121-0.052100%0.02
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.010.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.06-0.051850%0.192-0.204100%0.04
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.040.011355%0.053-0.08367%-0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.13-0.001952%-0.045-0.13475%-0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.07-0.150.00440%-0.053-0.1820%-0.13
Derrick Rose0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.04-0.22-0.011843%-0.132-0.1210%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.62.525.315.426.42.333.41.515.0149.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -54.5%
OKC +57.8%
OKC +36.7%
OKC +14.0%
CHI -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCCHINBAOKCCHINBA
this game16.314.915.5109.094.2106.4
season14.914.8100.5106.3
opponent15.715.1107.2106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC14.917.214.419.417.016.3
CHI11.917.914.416.614.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson83860.74-0.240.990.421101116.217.1-0.8814.815.1-0.22
Jeff Green78820.63-0.130.770.2812-11316.914.42.5215.612.33.24
Russell Westbrook80840.60-0.100.690.2412-11316.515.60.8514.715.7-1.08
Nick Collison63690.59-0.090.690.2113-21516.915.41.4215.214.21.06
Kevin Durant85890.54-0.040.580.25101916.316.7-0.4714.517.1-2.64
Joe Smith12120.040.46-0.41-0.0438-512.716.8-4.1611.315.3-4.00
Kyle Weaver3131-0.080.58-0.66-0.1429-715.316.8-1.4614.115.2-1.15
Nenad Krstic2624-0.160.66-0.82-0.02-516-2116.616.20.3316.014.51.52
Desmond Mason4243-0.410.91-1.31-0.32-314-1716.316.4-0.1215.214.70.53

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter27260.12-0.620.740.18-2-9714.914.90.0216.216.4-0.24
Joakim Noah5954-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-10915.514.01.4616.516.10.41
Tyrus Thomas5251-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-111114.315.4-1.1315.717.0-1.27
Andres Nocioni6263-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-5-115.514.01.5116.715.80.91
Larry Hughes8077-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.22-8-3-514.914.80.0517.014.03.08
Drew Gooden7573-0.540.04-0.58-0.22-110-1115.513.32.1717.114.32.74
Derrick Rose7976-0.620.12-0.74-0.36-9-2-714.715.4-0.6416.316.5-0.22
Ben Gordon8680-0.770.27-1.03-0.24-187-2513.919.3-5.3915.121.3-6.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.28,0.09,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 102, CHI 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.06,0.02,091.8%
DEN 120, SEA 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.06,0.04,090.7%
NJN 113, CHA 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.38,0.16,0.04,0.01,089.1%