inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 120 Excitement12.0 [25] MVPRay Allen (SEA): +23.4%
Seattle SuperSonics 112 Comeback3.9 [226] LVPLuke Ridnour (SEA): -16.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.140.060.07-0.011175%0.334-0.19683%0.12
Earl Watson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.050.00567%0.121-0.042100%0.02
Marcus Camby0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.011055%0.0800.002100%0.01
Francisco Elson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kenyon Martin0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.010.08-0.060.011467%0.283-0.275100%0.03
Linas Kleiza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00950%0.042-0.09475%-0.01
Eduardo Najera-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.060.00337%-0.0700.00250%-0.09
Carmelo Anthony-0.080,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.21,-0.12,0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.080.04-0.060.062156%0.204-0.271788%0.13
Greg Buckner-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.11-0.011036%-0.121-0.04250%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.160.06-0.012074%0.555-0.326100%0.05
Damien Wilkins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.010.140.011757%0.314-0.183100%0.02
Robert Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00567%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00558%0.111-0.10250%-0.01
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.00312%-0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.070.001246%0.012-0.1100%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.100.00743%-0.052-0.1000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.060.01731%-0.102-0.05250%-0.02
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.11-0.011741%-0.082-0.083100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.30.128.216.827.32.538.21.822.8163.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA -46.7%
DEN +59.1%
DEN +17.3%
DEN +11.6%
DEN +8.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSEANBADENSEANBA
this game14.716.015.6116.5107.7104.4
season14.415.0103.5108.9
opponent15.815.9112.2103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.813.617.215.511.114.7
SEA14.019.814.818.112.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Buckner75761.10-0.601.700.4821-133414.316.0-1.7014.519.9-5.39
Eduardo Najera38370.90-0.401.300.5213-51815.314.40.8916.815.61.19
Andre Miller83850.70-0.200.900.2615-72214.017.5-3.5016.314.71.60
Kenyon Martin77760.51-0.010.520.1911-31414.515.3-0.7215.716.9-1.19
Carmelo Anthony83840.410.090.320.2653214.715.0-0.3416.115.50.61
Marcus Camby53540.390.110.270.1580815.613.81.8814.917.2-2.33
Linas Kleiza340.000.50-0.500.06-210-121.315.1-13.805.016.4-11.43
Earl Boykins4747-0.480.98-1.47-0.13-1220-3215.214.40.8115.516.4-0.95
Earl Watson3030-0.490.99-1.49-0.26-816-2415.014.60.3819.014.84.28
Francisco Elson2627-0.531.03-1.56-0.21-1119-3016.714.12.6820.014.65.47

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johan Petro37360.21-0.710.930.104-121619.314.25.1314.115.1-0.95
Mikki Moore23240.19-0.690.890.026-142019.615.04.6517.713.83.94
Ronald Murray18160.06-0.560.62-0.033-111416.415.90.4814.414.8-0.42
Mateen Cleaves1210-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-91016.116.00.1112.015.0-3.02
Vladimir Radmanovic5250-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-91017.015.01.9814.514.9-0.40
Robert Swift5454-0.21-0.290.07-0.10-4-4014.717.4-2.7116.013.32.71
Ray Allen8585-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.28-2-6415.518.3-2.7815.112.92.16
Nick Collison5253-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.18-91-1015.017.0-1.9814.914.50.40
Damien Wilkins9393-0.580.08-0.66-0.14-157-2216.412.83.5514.615.7-1.08
Luke Ridnour8181-0.790.29-1.08-0.29-179-2615.019.6-4.6514.017.5-3.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 109, CHI 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.28,0.09,0,090.7%
IND 104, CLE 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.29,0.43,0.63,0.59,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.02,088.4%
SAS 126, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.11,0.03,0,088.4%