inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 126 Excitement9.0 [138] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +35.5%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback2.2 [410] LVPMarcus Camby (DEN): -21.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.360,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.360.080.290.021964%0.402-0.04786%0.01
Tim Duncan0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.090.002365%0.345-0.211493%0.11
Glenn Robinson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.030.00283%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.00570%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00569%0.051-0.023100%0.02
Beno Udrih0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01650%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01643%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01411%-0.0900.001100%0.02
Manu Ginobili-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.00-0.060.041357%-0.081-0.031675%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.070.19-0.012065%0.363-0.08989%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.140.14-0.030.170.011954%0.202-0.071486%0.11
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.000100%0.0200.003100%0.02
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00957%0.031-0.02367%-0.01
Wesley Person00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.030.02654%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.00530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.01-0.011046%0.062-0.11475%0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00250%-0.0800.001070%-0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.04-0.160.011246%-0.092-0.122100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.92.842.118.737.53.439.22.420.4194.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.9%
SAS +1.5%
SAS +10.2%
DEN -0.1%
SAS +8.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game16.414.215.5118.9112.7104.0
season16.314.8105.8103.8
opponent15.615.6102.398.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS17.713.814.521.214.916.4
DEN15.014.514.313.013.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili74690.66-0.160.820.1318-72516.615.90.6214.014.5-0.43
Tony Parker85820.56-0.060.620.0617-62316.515.90.6414.313.50.83
Robert Horry45430.420.080.340.1692718.814.64.1913.914.3-0.41
Bruce Bowen64610.400.100.300.1974318.113.84.2814.214.00.20
Nazr Mohammed53510.190.31-0.120.0747-316.416.40.0215.113.21.90
Rasho Nesterovic24220.150.35-0.200.0638-513.617.2-3.5513.314.4-1.14
Tim Duncan79780.140.36-0.210.14011-1116.316.4-0.1014.214.20.00
Brent Barry63620.110.39-0.28-0.1283514.119.7-5.6413.914.5-0.63
Beno Udrih2120-0.060.56-0.620.11-617-2315.916.5-0.6413.514.3-0.83
Glenn Robinson2222-0.070.57-0.640.07-516-2115.516.6-1.1014.214.10.08

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenyon Martin58590.18-0.680.860.064-151914.014.4-0.4716.416.4-0.03
Wesley Person230.05-0.550.61-0.002-131510.514.2-3.747.316.6-9.30
Bryon Russell670.02-0.520.55-0.032-131515.514.11.4211.016.7-5.75
DerMarr Johnson3539-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-111113.414.6-1.2116.516.30.19
Greg Buckner4646-0.19-0.310.110.16-121-1314.414.00.4115.117.3-2.19
Andre Miller6872-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-6-5-113.914.7-0.8517.214.52.75
Marcus Camby8486-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.13-110-1114.114.6-0.4717.212.94.21
Carmelo Anthony8890-0.540.04-0.59-0.22-110-1114.213.90.3616.515.80.65
Earl Boykins7375-0.610.11-0.73-0.29-110-1114.313.70.6216.117.0-0.94
Nene5053-0.670.17-0.83-0.32-121-1314.913.41.4816.316.4-0.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.11,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 126, MIL 1190.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.28,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.08,088.9%
DET 129, ATL 1240.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,088.7%
OKC 111, POR 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.84,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.14,0.28,088.7%