NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	116		Excitement	6.9 [444]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +43.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	3.2 [159]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -9.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.33	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.14	-0.01	23	68%	0.37	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.05
Rasual Butler	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	8	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	3	100%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	24	56%	0.10	0	0.00	9	100%	0.03
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.22	0.16	-0.05	22	78%	0.51	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	63%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.07	0.04	18	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	35.1	15.7	24.3	3.2	29.6	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +17.9%

NOH +22.1%

NOH +3.9%

NOH +0.6%

NOH +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAL	NBA	NOH	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.5	120.8	109.4	106.4
season	16.6	14.9		105.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		102.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.7	14.9	16.2	17.9	15.9
LAL	14.7	13.3	12.6	16.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	60	62	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.17	15	-4	19	16.4	14.9	1.54	14.3	13.8	0.54
Rasual Butler	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-3	17	17.3	12.3	5.00	15.2	11.4	3.81
Chris Paul	88	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-3	17	15.5	19.9	-4.39	14.3	12.4	1.85
David West	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	4	3	15.9	15.6	0.28	14.3	13.5	0.79
James Posey	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	8	-5	17.0	14.9	2.16	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Melvin Ely	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.28	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Devin Brown	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	8	-5	9.7	16.7	-7.07	11.8	14.5	-2.64
Peja Stojakovic	68	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	9	-7	14.8	18.5	-3.74	13.6	15.4	-1.76
Antonio Daniels	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	14	-17	19.9	15.5	4.39	12.4	14.3	-1.85
Hilton Armstrong	36	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	15	-19	14.9	16.4	-1.54	13.8	14.3	-0.54

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	46	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-15	19	13.8	14.5	-0.74	16.8	15.0	1.78
Lamar Odom	25	26	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-16	21	13.4	14.4	-1.06	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Andrew Bynum	73	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-7	3	13.5	16.3	-2.78	16.2	14.9	1.26
Sasha Vujacic	19	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	15.4	13.8	1.59	17.7	15.4	2.28
Kobe Bryant	85	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.04	15.5	18.3	-2.73
Josh Powell	11	11	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	18.7	13.6	5.17	16.4	15.8	0.58
Trevor Ariza	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-4	-3	14.3	14.0	0.30	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Pau Gasol	83	84	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	5	-21	14.4	12.8	1.59	15.6	17.8	-2.26
Derek Fisher	83	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	5	-21	14.0	15.2	-1.17	15.7	16.7	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.24,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.36,0.15,0.09,0.2,0.04,0,0,0	92.0%
IND 103, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.4%
UTA 87, ORL 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.03,0,0,0	90.9%