NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	6.4 [545]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +22.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.4 [597]		LVP	John Salmons (MIL): -16.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.07	-0.02	15	70%	0.28	3	-0.05	13	77%	-0.02
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.08
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	112%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.02	0.05	13	59%	0.07	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.03	0.06	8	72%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0	0%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.06	15	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	41%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	11	41%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	28.3	17.4	27.4	2.5	39.8	143.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.6%

MIL -0.4%

IND +20.2%

MIL -11.5%

IND +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.5	107.3	102.1	105.7
season	14.7	16.2		103.1	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		100.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.3	17.9	16.7	11.5	14.6
MIL	15.5	14.0	17.6	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-2	10	14.9	13.9	0.97	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Darren Collison	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-1	8	14.7	14.5	0.16	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Roy Hibbert	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-6	18	15.5	12.8	2.67	15.7	15.1	0.65
Tyler Hansbrough	42	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-1	8	15.5	13.9	1.60	17.1	14.3	2.80
Paul George	50	51	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	4	-2	13.5	15.8	-2.26	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Mike Dunleavy	50	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	5	-4	14.6	14.7	-0.09	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Josh McRoberts	54	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	7	-8	13.9	15.5	-1.60	14.3	17.1	-2.80
Jeff Foster	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	14.6	14.6	-0.03	15.8	15.4	0.39
A.J. Price	22	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.16	16.8	15.2	1.63
Dahntay Jones	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	8	-10	13.9	14.9	-0.97	16.0	15.3	0.70

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	6	6	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.13	8	-14	22	12.2	15.8	-3.60	13.8	14.7	-0.84
Earl Boykins	26	26	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.24	11	-17	28	11.5	17.0	-5.51	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Keyon Dooling	45	44	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.37	13	-19	32	13.9	17.0	-3.17	13.8	15.3	-1.57
Corey Maggette	14	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-5	4	15.9	15.5	0.38	10.8	15.2	-4.46
Luc Mbah a Moute	50	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-6	6	15.2	15.9	-0.71	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Carlos Delfino	65	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	15.7	15.2	0.44	15.0	13.7	1.23
Ersan Ilyasova	67	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-5	4	15.3	16.2	-0.91	14.4	15.2	-0.78
John Salmons	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	10	-26	16.1	14.1	2.01	15.4	12.6	2.88
Andrew Bogut	67	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.05	-19	13	-32	16.4	13.6	2.79	15.0	13.8	1.14
Brandon Jennings	66	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.04	-21	15	-36	17.5	11.1	6.33	14.8	14.2	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.36,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	92.7%
GSW 92, LAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	92.5%