NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	4.3 [958]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +20.4%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.3 [1011]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	14	61%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	55%	0.05	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	54%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Andre Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	0.06	12	46%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.01	18	73%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	12	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	14	58%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	10	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	26.5	15.7	26.0	2.0	31.2	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.7%

UTA +6.8%

PHI -4.3%

UTA +9.0%

UTA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	17.4	15.5	103.3	121.7	106.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.3	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		105.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	13.4	14.3	11.7	13.9
UTA	17.0	14.8	20.9	17.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-18	19	11.2	14.6	-3.42	18.5	17.1	1.42
Marreese Speights	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-13	9	12.2	15.0	-2.72	16.4	18.1	-1.76
Willie Green	54	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-10	3	14.6	12.8	1.80	18.4	16.0	2.44
Reggie Evans	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-5	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.63	17.3	17.7	-0.48
Andre Miller	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-5	-7	14.5	12.7	1.88	16.2	19.8	-3.65
Lou Williams	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-4	-9	13.2	14.9	-1.67	16.8	18.4	-1.58
Samuel Dalembert	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	16.1	12.1	4.03	17.7	17.2	0.51
Andre Iguodala	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-6	-5	13.8	14.3	-0.52	17.3	18.1	-0.84
Thaddeus Young	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	-1	-15	13.8	13.9	-0.11	18.8	14.9	3.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	64	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.00	19	-2	21	18.8	14.4	4.42	14.9	11.5	3.38
Deron Williams	60	61	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-2	21	18.5	15.5	2.97	15.0	11.7	3.21
Ronnie Brewer	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-1	19	17.7	17.1	0.62	15.4	12.0	3.37
CJ Miles	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	4	9	18.5	15.1	3.40	14.3	12.9	1.37
Mehmet Okur	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	7	3	17.5	17.3	0.17	14.0	13.5	0.48
Kyle Korver	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	12	-7	16.4	18.8	-2.45	12.8	15.4	-2.63
Kosta Koufos	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.07	9	8	1	16.0	18.2	-2.19	13.0	14.4	-1.43
Ronnie Price	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	17.2	17.4	-0.25	10.0	14.1	-4.09
Kyrylo Fesenko	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	16.2	17.5	-1.24	10.2	14.0	-3.78
Brevin Knight	32	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	15.5	18.5	-2.97	11.7	15.0	-3.21
Matt Harpring	14	14	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	21	-25	14.7	17.9	-3.21	11.9	14.2	-2.37
Morris Almond	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	18	-19	15.4	17.7	-2.32	11.7	14.2	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 68, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 93, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%