NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	68		Excitement	4.3 [988]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +11.6%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.5 [971]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -14.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zoran Planinic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	9	55%	0.03	4	-0.07	13	69%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	24%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	7	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	9	22%	-0.11
Richard Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	6	32%	-0.10	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.02	17	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	14	79%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	17	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	10	32%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	7	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	29%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	16	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.9	1.8	34.2	15.5	32.4	1.7	30.2	147.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.7%

NJN -1.8%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +13.7%

WAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.5	73.9	104.4	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		99.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	17.1	16.4	16.5	16.1
WAS	13.8	14.9	15.5	17.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	16	16	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-33	39	14.9	16.3	-1.37	15.7	15.3	0.42
Awvee Storey	21	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.30	-10	-17	7	14.5	16.5	-2.06	16.0	15.2	0.75
Aaron Williams	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	12.4	16.3	-3.88	11.7	15.6	-3.82
Nenad Krstic	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-22	17	14.0	17.1	-3.06	12.9	16.6	-3.74
Rodney Buford	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.35	-15	-12	-3	15.4	16.4	-1.02	16.3	15.0	1.21
Alonzo Mourning	42	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-25	23	17.9	14.5	3.38	17.7	13.2	4.49
Travis Best	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.23	-16	-11	-5	17.4	14.5	2.88	16.9	13.4	3.45
Jacque Vaughn	42	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-16	5	14.5	17.4	-2.88	13.4	16.9	-3.45
Brian Scalabrine	37	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	-6	-15	15.0	16.8	-1.78	12.1	17.4	-5.34
Jason Collins	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	-9	-9	16.2	15.9	0.34	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Richard Jefferson	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	-9	-9	16.3	15.4	0.86	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Eric Williams	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	-6	-15	17.4	12.1	5.25	16.5	12.0	4.55

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	71	70	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.10	25	2	23	14.5	18.5	-4.03	16.6	14.5	2.06
Brendan Haywood	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	4	19	14.2	17.4	-3.19	17.1	14.5	2.57
Gilbert Arenas	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	2	23	14.4	20.7	-6.38	15.5	18.7	-3.19
Larry Hughes	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.35	26	1	25	14.6	17.3	-2.72	15.5	17.4	-1.86
Michael Ruffin	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.28	20	7	13	16.7	14.3	2.38	16.2	16.0	0.19
Jarvis Hayes	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	12	3	15.7	15.0	0.71	15.5	16.8	-1.36
Anthony Peeler	28	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	28	-29	17.4	14.5	2.87	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Kwame Brown	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	25	-23	18.4	14.2	4.17	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Juan Dixon	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	28	-29	19.9	14.3	5.66	18.4	15.5	2.90
Jared Jeffries	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	26	-25	14.3	15.7	-1.40	16.3	16.0	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIN 90, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 95, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%