NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	3.6 [1082]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +14.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	76		Comeback	1.0 [747]		LVP	Brandon Bass (DAL): -7.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.00	-0.01	20	66%	0.17	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
James Singleton	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	17	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	12	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	15	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	34%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	28.3	15.0	25.8	1.8	28.2	126.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.9%

DAL +2.5%

DAL +15.8%

LAC -3.7%

DAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	18.2	15.3	15.5	114.0	88.4	106.4
season	15.6	15.7		108.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	17.9	16.5	22.7	18.2
LAC	16.4	16.4	13.5	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	66	64	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.13	24	-2	26	17.9	18.9	-1.01	15.5	14.9	0.61
Jason Kidd	62	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	0	22	17.2	20.6	-3.34	15.5	14.8	0.67
Jason Terry	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	6	10	18.0	18.8	-0.83	15.7	14.4	1.26
Erick Dampier	49	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	10	2	18.1	18.3	-0.17	15.2	15.5	-0.33
James Singleton	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	-1	24	16.6	19.9	-3.21	15.6	14.9	0.68
Brandon Bass	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	16	-10	19.7	15.9	3.79	15.1	15.6	-0.55
DeSagana Diop	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	19	-16	18.1	18.2	-0.05	15.3	15.3	0.05
Jose Juan Barea	49	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	18	-14	19.9	15.9	3.91	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Antoine Wright	16	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	22	-22	18.2	18.2	0.02	14.7	15.5	-0.75

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.08	-2	-20	18	14.5	16.0	-1.57	18.4	18.0	0.42
Steve Novak	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	14.3	15.3	-1.02	20.5	18.1	2.38
DeAndre Jordan	27	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-23	24	15.3	15.3	-0.08	18.1	18.2	-0.13
Mardy Collins	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-17	12	15.0	15.4	-0.37	21.0	17.2	3.74
Jason Hart	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-21	20	14.6	15.9	-1.36	20.1	16.7	3.41
Paul Davis	7	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-17	12	18.4	15.0	3.39	15.7	18.4	-2.67
Brian Skinner	15	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-14	6	16.9	15.0	1.88	20.2	17.7	2.50
Al Thornton	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-10	-2	15.0	17.1	-2.08	18.3	17.5	0.75
Eric Gordon	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	-2	-18	15.7	13.1	2.68	18.5	16.5	1.93
Baron Davis	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.24	-27	5	-32	15.4	15.0	0.38	16.7	22.3	-5.58
Marcus Camby	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.27	-31	9	-40	15.5	14.5	1.00	16.8	24.1	-7.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.8%
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SEA 109, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%