NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	109		Excitement	3.6 [655]		MVP	Billy Owens (SEA): +12.9%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.0 [540]		LVP	Olden Polynice (SEA): -14.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	10	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	10	83%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	17	56%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	61%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	8	35%	-0.10	2	-0.04	10	30%	-0.09

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	13	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	17	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	9	43%	-0.02	2	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.08	8	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	42%	-0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	25.7	15.6	25.1	1.6	29.3	121.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +46.3%

SEA +0.8%

SEA +1.7%

SEA +2.6%

DAL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	17.0	15.8	119.8	111.0	99.6
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.8	16.6	15.2	14.1	14.7
DAL	21.5	16.1	20.8	11.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	52	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	-14	36	15.3	13.7	1.60	19.3	13.6	5.63
Detlef Schrempf	53	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-9	26	15.8	13.0	2.85	19.9	12.8	7.13
Gary Payton	62	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-14	36	15.2	13.6	1.58	19.6	11.4	8.13
Olden Polynice	49	50	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.05	12	-4	16	15.3	13.9	1.49	18.2	15.6	2.60
Billy Owens	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	1	6	14.9	14.2	0.70	18.4	14.9	3.58
Dale Ellis	39	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	7	-6	17.8	12.3	5.58	15.6	18.1	-2.48
Vladimir Stepania	47	45	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	14	-20	13.9	15.4	-1.50	15.2	18.7	-3.54
Jelani McCoy	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	11	-14	17.3	13.9	3.48	19.0	16.4	2.61
Drew Barry	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	14	-20	7.2	15.9	-8.67	7.3	18.6	-11.29
Rashard Lewis	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	14	-20	7.2	15.9	-8.67	7.9	18.4	-10.45
Aaron Williams	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	14	-20	7.2	15.9	-8.67	7.9	18.4	-10.45
John Crotty	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.40	-14	22	-36	13.7	15.3	-1.60	13.3	19.6	-6.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-16	24	10.7	19.1	-8.42	12.0	15.5	-3.50
Dirk Nowitzki	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-13	18	13.4	19.4	-5.99	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Hubert Davis	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-9	10	15.3	18.8	-3.45	14.7	14.6	0.06
Samaki Walker	55	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.37	7	-15	22	14.5	20.8	-6.36	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Erick Strickland	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-11	14	16.8	17.6	-0.81	14.0	17.9	-3.98
Gary Trent	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	18.3	15.5	2.77	15.9	13.3	2.60
Steve Nash	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	2	-12	17.1	16.9	0.20	15.4	14.1	1.28
A.C. Green	19	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	6	-20	23.5	15.3	8.20	13.3	15.0	-1.70
Michael Finley	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	8	-24	19.1	10.7	8.42	15.5	12.0	3.50
Shawn Bradley	42	41	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.08	-20	12	-32	21.0	13.5	7.49	14.6	14.7	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
OKC 123, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 97, LAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%