NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	8.6 [160]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +48.0%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	18.7 [129]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -18.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.29	0.01	0.26	-0.02	12	44%	0.29	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.10
Willie Green	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.04	0.02	15	59%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.13,0,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	53%	0.09	5	-0.18	10	60%	-0.06
Andre Iguodala	-0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.18	0.06	-0.24	0.00	15	65%	0.16	4	-0.34	7	57%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.48	0.48	0.15	0.35	0.02	11	72%	0.52	2	-0.04	14	100%	0.13
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.17	0.01	10	60%	0.30	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	20	67%	0.18	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	59%	0.14	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.6	15.5	28.5	2.4	42.4	145.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +7.5%

DEN +35.3%

PHI -0.8%

DEN +3.2%

DEN +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.5	104.1	107.1	106.4
season	15.5	14.4		105.3	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	14.6	13.2	16.7	15.2
DEN	12.5	14.8	16.8	13.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	45	45	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.04	15	-19	34	15.2	15.2	0.01	14.9	13.8	1.08
Donyell Marshall	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	12.5	15.6	-3.16	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Royal Ivey	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	0	-4	13.3	15.7	-2.33	13.7	14.5	-0.76
Reggie Evans	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	4	-12	14.9	15.3	-0.48	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Marreese Speights	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	3	-10	15.4	15.1	0.27	15.0	14.0	1.08
Thaddeus Young	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	14.9	15.8	-0.88	13.7	15.6	-1.99
Samuel Dalembert	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-7	10	16.3	13.8	2.44	14.9	13.7	1.25
Andre Miller	77	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-4	4	15.7	13.3	2.33	14.5	13.7	0.76
Andre Iguodala	93	94	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	15.3	13.0	2.29	14.5	10.2	4.27
Lou Williams	56	57	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.46	-17	13	-30	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.6	15.4	-1.79

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	25	28	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.31	19	-15	34	14.1	14.4	-0.30	16.0	14.9	1.08
Chauncey Billups	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	14.0	16.4	-2.43	15.0	16.3	-1.27
Nene	64	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	2	0	14.8	13.5	1.34	15.9	13.8	2.13
J.R. Smith	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	4	-4	14.8	13.3	1.42	16.0	13.0	2.99
Kenyon Martin	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	8	-12	14.6	13.6	1.04	15.4	14.7	0.68
Linas Kleiza	49	48	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	-5	14	14.2	14.4	-0.20	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	16	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	3	-2	12.9	14.6	-1.68	13.1	15.5	-2.40
Chris Andersen	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	0	4	14.0	14.5	-0.49	13.4	16.0	-2.54
Anthony Carter	43	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	0	4	14.3	14.3	0.00	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Dahntay Jones	40	38	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.13	-19	23	-42	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.2	15.2	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.17,1	91.9%
CHI 110, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	91.7%
NJN 87, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.31,1	91.6%