NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	5.8 [675]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +15.2%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.9 [363]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -12.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	14	66%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	11	63%	0.15	1	-0.04	13	69%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	70%	0.12	3	-0.10	7	86%	-0.01
Sean Singletary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	16	50%	0.11	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	92%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	21	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	0.01	7	43%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	15	37%	-0.09	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	27.7	15.7	26.4	2.4	35.5	136.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +61.7%

CHA +3.9%

CHA +2.7%

NJN -22.1%

CHA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.5	103.3	96.7	106.4
season	16.5	16.0		103.0	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	18.1	17.5	14.9	16.2
NJN	15.2	16.2	14.5	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	85	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-6	20	16.5	12.4	4.11	15.6	13.9	1.69
Emeka Okafor	71	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-8	24	15.7	18.0	-2.36	15.6	14.9	0.72
Gerald Wallace	75	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	15.7	18.6	-2.97	14.9	17.5	-2.61
Raja Bell	70	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-2	12	15.8	17.5	-1.73	15.4	15.3	0.14
Raymond Felton	76	74	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	6	-4	16.6	14.4	2.24	15.1	16.8	-1.70
Sean Singletary	5	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	5	-2	15.6	16.3	-0.66	15.2	15.4	-0.26
D.J. Augustin	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	10	-12	16.2	16.2	0.01	15.9	15.1	0.76
Nazr Mohammed	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	11	-14	18.9	15.6	3.31	15.5	15.4	0.15
Matt Carroll	26	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	18	-28	16.5	16.1	0.38	16.0	15.2	0.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	19	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	17.1	15.0	2.15	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Josh Boone	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-12	16	15.2	15.5	-0.35	15.8	16.5	-0.73
Bobby Simmons	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-16	24	15.7	15.3	0.34	16.8	16.0	0.75
Jarvis Hayes	51	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-11	14	14.7	16.3	-1.63	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Eduardo Najera	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-6	4	11.0	15.7	-4.73	19.7	15.9	3.77
Yi Jianlian	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	0	-8	15.7	15.3	0.41	16.6	16.0	0.60
Keyon Dooling	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.5	15.3	0.26	15.5	17.2	-1.72
Trenton Hassell	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	3	-14	15.4	15.4	-0.04	16.9	15.8	1.09
Vince Carter	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	15.8	12.7	3.06	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Brook Lopez	58	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	4	-16	15.5	15.2	0.35	16.5	15.8	0.73
Devin Harris	62	64	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.17	-17	9	-26	15.1	16.1	-0.96	16.2	16.2	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	94.1%
MIA 105, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.6%
GSW 123, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	93.6%