NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	98		Excitement	5.3 [762]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +12.7%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	1.1 [676]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -8.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	3	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.03	0.06	17	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	62%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	19	52%	0.13	6	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.03	0.03	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.05	18	49%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	22	53%	0.10	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	16	35%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	32.8	15.7	25.3	2.4	30.5	133.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +53.9%

DAL -2.7%

DAL -1.5%

DAL -0.0%

DEN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	15.5	105.4	92.6	106.4
season	14.4	15.6		109.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		107.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.8	13.0	15.3	16.8	14.2
DAL	20.0	14.1	17.5	14.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	71	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-8	26	14.4	13.5	0.91	17.4	12.8	4.64
Anthony Carter	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	3	4	13.7	14.7	-1.07	15.3	17.5	-2.25
J.R. Smith	49	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	2	6	14.8	13.5	1.27	14.1	19.1	-4.97
Chris Andersen	34	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	4	2	13.9	14.3	-0.40	15.8	16.8	-0.93
Linas Kleiza	38	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	6	-2	13.4	14.8	-1.40	14.5	17.7	-3.17
Chauncey Billups	65	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-2	14	14.1	14.3	-0.18	17.6	13.7	3.88
Nene	68	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	4	2	14.1	14.5	-0.45	16.8	15.4	1.37
Chucky Atkins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	19.5	14.1	5.42	5.5	16.7	-11.16
Carmelo Anthony	65	67	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	11	-12	14.6	13.2	1.40	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Dahntay Jones	27	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	17	-24	14.0	14.3	-0.32	20.1	14.8	5.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	52	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-15	20	17.3	15.4	1.87	14.3	14.0	0.27
Gerald Green	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	5.5	16.7	-11.16	19.5	14.1	5.42
Shawne Williams	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-8	6	8.0	16.5	-8.51	5.0	14.3	-9.29
Erick Dampier	55	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-8	6	18.1	14.1	3.92	14.5	13.8	0.65
DeSagana Diop	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-10	10	13.2	17.1	-3.88	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Jason Kidd	70	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	17.0	14.7	2.31	14.3	14.0	0.22
Jose Juan Barea	67	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	16.6	16.1	0.45	14.9	12.6	2.27
Brandon Bass	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-7	4	14.2	17.9	-3.68	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Josh Howard	30	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	16.1	16.6	-0.52	13.0	14.8	-1.74
Dirk Nowitzki	80	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	17.0	13.3	3.75	14.3	13.6	0.73
Jason Terry	63	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	9	-28	15.6	18.1	-2.57	13.9	14.9	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CLE 100, DAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.9%